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REPEAT: MNI: China Trade Advisor Sees Retaliatory Stance

MNI (London)
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 05:10 GMT Apr 12/01:10 EST Apr 12
--China Will Not Be Proactive In Trade Dispute, Will React Accordingly
     BEIJING (MNI) - China's stance in the trade dispute with the U.S. is not
antagonistic, but it sometimes has to act unreasonably to counteract the U.S.
when it turns unreasonable, a trade expert at an advisory group directly managed
by the Chinese government said in an exclusive interview with MNI.
     "China will increase measures if the U.S. do so, but China will not
proactively create confrontation," Wang Haifeng, director of the international
trade and investment research office at the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic
Research, told MNI.
     However, Wang said "reasonable people should sometimes be unreasonable."
     CAMR is an institution directly managed by China's powerful economic
planner National Development and Reform Commission.
     Though some have interpreted Chinese President Xi Jinping's announcement on
Tuesday that China will further open up its economy and financial sector as a
comprise to the U.S. for easing trade conflicts, Wang disagrees, noting that
China's active opening to the world only coincides with what the U.S. has
requested.
     --COMPROMISES ON BOTH SIDES
     China is well aware that opening up and reform, which started in 1980s, has
served as a huge contributor to its economic boom and all-round development, and
it will further advance the process, Wang said.
     Beijing is willing to negotiate with the U.S., Wang said, reiterating the
Chinese government's stance. He added both sides are expected to reach an
agreement through negotiations as both governments are reasonable.
     "Both will make comprises," Wang said. "Though it will not be very soon ...
it's a long-term process."
     The political needs of the Trump administration to show its supporters it
can deliver on promises made during the 2016 Presidential Election campaign are
playing a big role in the dispute, Wang said.
     However, the Trump administration, of which many advisors and officials are
conservative-leaning businessmen with close links to multinational corporations,
is unlikely to turn against globalization, knowing the U.S. is one of the
biggest beneficiaries of globalization, Wang stressed.
     "In order to untie the bell, the person who tied it should take it off,"
Wang used a Chinese idiom to explain the key for the current standoff of the
world's two largest economies, suggesting the creator of a problem was best
placed to solve it.
     --RETALIATION
     If the U.S. decides to implement the Trump administration's proposed 25%
tariffs on $50 billion worth Chinese exports as it announced on April 4, China
will certainly retaliate as it vowed -- imposing an equivalent level of tariffs
on U.S. products such as soybeans, aircrafts and chemicals, Wang said.
     "China has to make no comprise" at this stage, Wang noted, though obviously
any measures taken by both sides is at the cost to themselves.
     However, he warned, that the current limited scale of trade dispute could
escalate into a full-blown trade war if the Trump administration "lose its
head," though it might be extremely unlikely as the Senate and the House could
block Trump's damaging trade measures.
     Wang said China should further make its plans more detailed to counter any
possible action by the U.S. However, the government should not be distracted by
the trade dispute, but should focus on further development of the economy and
deepen its reform and opening up, Wang said.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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