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REPEAT: MNI INTERVIEW: China May Make Concessions After Talks
BEIJING (MNI) - China is expected to make partial concessions towards U.S.
demand for structural reform and preventing forced technology transfers after
bilateral trade talks this week, although it is unlikely to commit to specific
quantities of imports, a trade advisor for the Ministry of Commerce told MNI on
Wednesday.
The two sides will declare consensus on several principles and some issues,
"but the language may be vague," said Lu Jinyong, vice president of China
Association for International Economic Cooperation managed by the Ministry of
Commerce. He added that both countries wanted to send a clear message that the
talks have produced positive results and that the probability of reaching a
final deal had risen.
China is expected to make partial concessions on structural reform, and
could accept changes in the management and operation of economically dominant
state-owned companies, Lu said. China is also likely to order local governments
not to extract technology transfer from foreign companies, although it doesn't
recognize that it has ever officially condoned such practices, he said.
In addition, China will likely declare its willingness to further increase
imports of U.S. agricultural goods, including soybeans, beef, fruit and dried
foods, as well as machines such as autos and aircrafts, as well as energy
products such as oil and natural gas. But specific quantity promises likely
won't be made until future negotiations, he said.
"China may accept some 'flexible' quantity requirements, such as reducing
its trade surplus by certain percentages over some timeframe, for instance,
within a couple of years," Lu told MNI.
China may agree to buy more liquefied natural gas from the U.S. despite its
being farther than other suppliers such as Russia or Asia, Lu said. It may even
propose to form energy partnerships with the U.S..
Major Chinese state-owned oil companies, such as China National Petroleum
Corp. and Sinopec Corp., could be directed to import more crude oil from the
U.S., and China may agree to specific amounts in future higher-level
negotiations, Lu said.
On services, China may further increase imports of cultural products such
as films, television shows, allow more spending in tourism and education in the
U.S., and lift more market access restrictions, Lu said.
Lu's comments came before the talks in Beijing concluded on Wednesday, with
both countries expected to make a statement on progress soon.
If no deal is reached by March, the U.S. says it will raise tariffs on $200
billion worth of Chinese imports to 25% from 10%.
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3829; email: jason.webb@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAQDS$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$,MGQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.