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REPEAT: MNI:New Zealand Infl Expectation Near RBNZ Band Mid-Pt

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 02:18 GMT Feb 14/21:18 EST Feb 13
By Sophia Rodrigues
     SYDNEY (MNI) - Inflation expectations in New Zealand remained anchored at
the mid-point of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's target band, raising optimism
that the RBNZ's forecast for inflation to trend upwards towards the mid-point is
achievable.
     This would allow the RBNZ to keep the monetary policy on hold for longer.
     The quarterly survey conducted for the RBNZ by The Nielsen Company and
published by the central bank Wednesday showed a marginal drop in one-year
inflation expectation but two-year expectation rose slightly. Both remained
close to the mid-point of the 1% to 3% target band. Significantly long-term
inflation expectations also were little-changed around the 2% mark.
     The survey also published view on house price index which showed a marginal
rise in expectation compared with Q4 but remained below Q3 when these views were
first published. Overall, the data showed house prices are expected to rise at a
very slow rate over the next two years.
                                          Q1     Q4
---------------------------------------------------
Inflation 2-year ahead (mean)          2.11%  2.02%
Inflation 1-year ahead (mean)          1.86%  1.87%
Inflation 5-year ahead (mean)          2.09%  2.11%
Inflation 10-year ahead (mean)         2.05%  2.03%
House Price Expectation 1-year ahead   2.45%  2.31%
House Price Expectation 2-year ahead   2.52%  2.01%
--MNI Sydney Bureau; tel: +61 2-9716-5467; email: sophia.rodrigues@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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