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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
REPEAT: MNI: Spain Aims For Prize Of ECB Vice-Presidency
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 12:12 GMT Nov 20/07:12 EST Nov 20
--Madrid Believes It Should Be In Line To Fill Constancio Role
--Economy Minister De Guindos Believed To Be Spain's Preferred Candidate
by Jean Comte
BRUSSELS (MNI) - Spain is hoping to fill the seat of the Vitor Constancio,
currently European Central Bank Vice-President, when his term ends on May 31
2018, a source from the Spanish Economy ministry told Market News.
Madrid wants to restore an unwritten rule on ECB appointments that sees one
member from each of the four largest EU economy -- Spain, Germany, France, Italy
-- hold one of the 6 seats of the ECB Executive Board.
"The four largest EU economy usually have a seat at the executive board -
as largest contributors to the ECB capital key. The departure of V Constancio is
the right opportunity to restore this balance," the Spanish official said.
The non-binding 'rule' was broken in Spring 2012, when outgoing Spanish
Executive Board member Jose Manuel Gonzalez-Paramo was replaced by Luxembourg's
Yves Mersch.
"That broke a gentleman's agreement," Spain's economy minister told
reporters last December.
Madrid has not officially decided who the preferred candidate for the position
is, but the scuttlebutt in Brussels suggests the economy minister Luis de
Guindos is aiming for the job.
The rumour appears to stem from the fact that de Guindos has ruled himself out
as a candidate Eurogroup presidency election, despite being Jeroen
Dijsselbloem's only contender back in June 2015.
The process to select a new Eurogroup president started last week. Finance
ministers who wish to fill the position have until the end of this month to
apply, and the election will take place at the 4th of December meeting.
--South/North balance
A Spanish ECB vice-president could leave the way open for a possible German
take-over of the Presidency, at least in terms of 'North/South' balance. Berlin
is said to pushing for Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann to replace Mario
Draghi, whose term ends in a little under two years time.
That could shift the whole executive board toward a more hawkish stance, an EU
diplomat told MNI -- as Guindos is said to be a right-wing politician closer to
the hawks, with Germany also firmly in the hawks camp.
The ECB appointment must be decided by EMU heads of state and confirmed by
the EU Parliament. An EU official with good knowledge of Eurogroup working
methods told MNI that the finance ministers will hold a first discussion in
January 2018. But at this point, they will only focus on the "procedure" leading
to the appointment of the vice-president, not on the possible names, the source
added.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.