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SA Stocks Shine in 2021: Commodities & Budget Providing Support

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SA stocks (+16.57% YTD) the key outperformer vs Turkey (4.31%) & Russia (5.79%) in 2021
  • SA stocks (shown in candles), have been buoyed by high commodity prices, balanced inflation/central bank stance and relatively low-profile geopolitical presence relative to Turkey (red) & Russia (blue)
  • Despite Turkey's growth coming well above the others at +1.8% for FY20 & projected at 7% for 2021, equity valuations remain compressed on FX, geopolitical and human rights risks.
  • Similarly, Russia has failed to realise equity upside in Brent/commodities due to geopolitical concerns and de-anchored inflation limiting scope for CBR easing to support growth.
  • JPM remains extremely bullish on SA equities in 2021, given the anticipated commodity super-cycle and better than expected budget.
  • Additionally, close correlations to Chinese equities (Naspers/Tencent component of Top40) also a key consideration in leveraging off China's strong growth/manufacturing projections.


MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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