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Short-end of Gilts have rallied........>

GILT SUMMARY
GILT SUMMARY: Short-end of Gilts have rallied strongly and outperformed the
long-end, and in turn bull steepened the yield curve in wake of softer than
expected UK core CPI. Comments from BoE Silvana Tenreyro last night and reports
of a tougher stance from EU on transitional deal, also underpinning Gilts.
- 2-yr Gilt yield -1.8bp at 0.577%, 5-yr -2.0bp at 0.835%, 10-yr -1.8bp at
1.305%, 30-yr -0.4bp at 1.814% & 50-yr unch at 1.600%.
- Gilts opened modestly higher supported by BoE Tenreyro comments that
re-enforced central bank view interest rates would rise a couple more times in
3-years, but this would slow if productivity increased faster than Bank expects.
- A EU draft report on Brexit transitional deal showing a tough stance also
raised concerns of difficult negotiations ahead.
- The main highlight though was UK CPI data that showed overall inflation
dipping to 3.0% y/y from 3.1% y/y as expected, but core falling to 2.5% from
2.7%. This initiated decent run of call buying in Sstg options and outright
buying and curve flattening trades in the strip.
- 5-yr breakevens are 2.8bp wider at 3% as RPI rose more than expected.

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