MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 27

MNI BRIEF: BOJ: Rate Hike Chance Nearing; Mull Patiently

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY6.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1893 Fri; -2.12% Y/Y

MNI JAPAN NOV FACTORY OUTPUT DROPS 2.3% M/M; OCT +2.8%

MNI JAPAN NOV JOBLESS RATE AT 2.5%, UNCHANGED FROM OCT

US EIA:NAT GAS STORAGE -93 BCF TO 3,529 BCF DEC 27 WK

MNI: US JOBLESS CLAIMS -1K TO 219K IN DEC 21 WK

MNI: US REDBOOK: DEC STORE SALES +5.0% V YR AGO MO

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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SILVER TECHS: Bear Cycle Still In Play 

SILVER TECHS
Metals bulletMetals Technical AnalysisCommodities TechBulletMarketsForeign Exchange BulletsCommodities
  • RES 4: $35.226 - 61.8% of the 2011 - 2020 major bear leg  
  • RES 3: $35.167 - 2.00 proj of the Aug 8 - 26 - Sep 6 price swing 
  • RES 2: $33.125/34.903 - High Nov 1 / High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $31.243/537 - 50-day EMA / High Nov 19                           
  • PRICE: 29.864 @ 08:02 GMT Nov 28 
  • SUP 1: $29.677/642 - Low Nov 14 / Intraday low       
  • SUP 2: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle 
  • SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 
  • SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8  

Medium-term bullish conditions in Silver remain intact and the bear cycle that started on Oct 23 still appears to be a correction. However, this corrective cycle remains in play. Price has recently breached the 20- and 50-day EMAs, and traded through a trendline drawn from the Aug 8 low. This has exposed $28.446, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance to watch is $31.243, the 50-day EMA.

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  • RES 4: $35.226 - 61.8% of the 2011 - 2020 major bear leg  
  • RES 3: $35.167 - 2.00 proj of the Aug 8 - 26 - Sep 6 price swing 
  • RES 2: $33.125/34.903 - High Nov 1 / High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: $31.243/537 - 50-day EMA / High Nov 19                           
  • PRICE: 29.864 @ 08:02 GMT Nov 28 
  • SUP 1: $29.677/642 - Low Nov 14 / Intraday low       
  • SUP 2: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle 
  • SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 
  • SUP 4: $26.451 - Low Aug 8  

Medium-term bullish conditions in Silver remain intact and the bear cycle that started on Oct 23 still appears to be a correction. However, this corrective cycle remains in play. Price has recently breached the 20- and 50-day EMAs, and traded through a trendline drawn from the Aug 8 low. This has exposed $28.446, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial firm resistance to watch is $31.243, the 50-day EMA.