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Steady Asset Decline Continues (1/2)

FED

As we detailed in our latest Fed Balance Sheet Tracker out today (PDF here), the size of the Fed's balance sheet continues to recede from banking sector-assistance related highs set earlier this year, with the $8.1T of assets as of Sept 6th representing the lowest level since July 2021 (and down from $8.8T in March and, prior to that, the all-time high $9.0T in April 2022).

  • The SOMA portfolio is at its smallest level since June 2021 at $7.379T (down just over $1T since the peak in mid-2022 when QT began).
  • Another $18B net in Treasuries rolled off last week, making $61B in the past month, with $19B in MBS and $1B in Bills holdings contracting over the past month.
  • Part of the drawdown in assets is attributable to the decline in emergency liquidity and lending facilities.
  • With temporary loans to the FDIC declining another $0.6B in the past week and $11.6B in the past month to $134B, and discount window usage pulling back $0.9B last week to $2.1B, it's really only the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) that's applying upside impetus.
  • But BTFP is only rising at a very slow pace (+$1.0T in the past month to $107.9B), in fact even more slowly in the past month than the legacy Pandemic 13-3 Programs have contracted (-1.2B to $31.9B).

Source: Federal Reserve

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