October 02, 2024 13:02 GMT
STIR: SONIA Futures Sold On U.S. Data, BoE Pricing Back To Session Extremes
STIR
Hawkish adjustments in GBP STIRs on the U.S. ADP employment data.
- BoE dated-OIS back to hawkish session extremes, showing ~23bp of cuts for November, 36bp of cuts through December and ~113.5bp of cuts through year-end.
- Fresh session lows in most SONIA futures. Contracts little changed to 11.5bp weaker on the day, with yesterday’s rally more than fully reversed.
- Plenty of event risk scheduled in the remainder of the week, with an appearance from BoE chief economist Pill and U.S. NFP data headlining on Friday.
BoE Meeting |
SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)
Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Nov-24
4.716
-23.4
Dec-24
4.590
-36.0
Feb-25
4.356
-59.4
Mar-25
4.163
-78.7
May-25
3.933
-101.7
Jun-25
3.815
-113.5
Aug-25
3.670
-128.0
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