Free Trial

*** Ten-years to the day -- Tsy.....>

US TSYS SUMMARY
US TSYS SUMMARY: *** Ten-years to the day -- Tsy curve continues to flatten,
revisiting levels not seen since early Nov'07 67.435 last -1.723; outright
flattener interest in 2s & 5s vs. 10s & 30s.
- Salient underlying factors affecting mkts -- equities under pressure with bank
shares reacting negatively to flatter yld curve (maybe should be given vicinity
to all-time highs) but off lows w/emini -4.0 at 2584.75. Tax reform bill
tentative vote Thu may not pass. 
- Exogenous factors, geopol tension between US and N Korea remains high w/US
Pres Trump in region on 2-wk Asia tour, leaderless Catalonia vs. Spain rule,
ongoing Brexit/EU negotiation tug-of-war. Bright spots? Portugal, Italy, Spain
and Greece 10Y spd tto Germany all narrowing.
- Tsy futures holding off top end of range on decent volume after mixed $24B 3Y
auction w/2.76 bid/cover. Two-way in front end earlier, real$ selling 5s and
fast$ unwinding 5s30s flatteners, technical sellers in cash as 10Y bumping up
against 200-dma. Corp deal-tied flow in mix.
- Swap spd curve steepening out, 30Y spd back to 2Y (inverted) highs

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.