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September 05, 2017 07:07 GMT

The front end of the Sonia curve is...........>

Michael Chrysostomou

SONIA

SONIA: The front end of the Sonia curve is slightly steeper in early Tuesday

morning trading compared to Monday's close as BRC like-for-like sales for August

rise 1.3% m/m, up from July's +0.9% m/m, helped by strong food sales. Looking

ahead key UK service PMI is released at 0830GMT with consensus seeing a slight

fall to 53.4 in Aug from 53.8 from July. While the political arguments are

likely to rise as parliament returns from summer recess. MNI PINCH now see

markets pricing a 45% chance of a 25bp rate hike in Feb 2018 and the following

levels in BoE forward dated Sonia:-

- Sep-17 unchanged at 0.217%

- Nov-17 0.1bp higher at 0.271%

- Dec-17 0.3bp higher at 0.275%

- Feb-18 0.3bp higher at 0.325%

- Mar-18 0.7bp higher at 0.319%

- May-18 0.6bp higher at 0.358%

- Jun-18 0.6bp higher at 0.362%

- Aug-18 0.6bp higher at 0.388%

Markets Fixed Income News

Michael Chrysostomou

Markets Fixed Income News

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