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The hawkish tone of the February MPC...>

GILT SUMMARY
GILT SUMMARY: The hawkish tone of the February MPC minutes hit the markets hard
especially the 5-yr part of the Gilt yield curve leading 5s/30s to flatten by
6.7bps and trade at tightest level since November 2008.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is +5.5bp at 0.688%, 5-yr +9bp at 1.098%, 10-yr +7.0bp at
1.621%, 30-yr +2.3bp at 1.995% and 50-yr +2.1bp at 1.765%.
- BoE MPC voted 9-0 to keep rates and QE unchanged, but the minutes took a
decisive turn to the hawkish side despite very little upward revision to growth,
with the committee unified in the belief that policy would have to be tightened
"somewhat earlier" and by a "somewhat greater degree" compared to the
expectations underpinning its November projections.
- Governor Carney tried top explain the change in the press conference saying
that it does not mean there will be more rate hikes, just that they will be
sooner, gradual and limited in nature. This did little to change markets
expectation which now price in a 77% chance of a rate hike at May's MPC meeting.
- 5-yr & 10-yr real yields have faired even worse leading breakevens to tighten
by 2.4bp and 3.4bp respectively. Swap spreads are ~3bp wider expect 5s, 7s & 10s

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