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The space has started the week in......>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: The space has started the week in familiar territory, tracking
Tsys, with 10-Year futures topside failure from last week still providing the
most interesting point of note. The AU/US 10-Year spread trades around -20bp,
with the domestic 3-/10-Year yield differential a little flatter on the session.
- The Bill strip has been listless thus far, edging lower on a higher 3-Month
BBSW fix & strong domestic dataset.
- Q1 business inventories & corporate profits came in better than expected, and
therefore may offer some upside risk to Wednesday's GDP release. Additional GDP
inputs will be released tomorrow (net exports & public demand). Consensus looks
for a headline Q/Q GDP print of 0.8%, against Q4's 0.4%.
- Elsewhere the RBA will issue its latest MonPol decision on Tuesday with all of
those surveyed looking for the Bank to leave its cash rate unchanged at 1.5%. As
a result participants will scour the statement for any changes in rhetoric.
Rates markets are pricing in a mere 45% chance of a 25bp hike over the next 12
months, which is underpinning the shorter end of the yield curve.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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