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The UK Debt Management.........>

GILT AUCTION PREVIEW
GILT AUCTION PREVIEW: The UK Debt Management Office taps the 1.75% Sep-37 Gilt
for Stg2.25bln on Tuesday.
- BACKGROUND: The Gilt curve has progressively flattened since the beginning of
2017. This has been driven in large part by a re-pricing of monetary policy
expectations, which has pushed up the front end. While 10-year yields have held
within a 1.5-1.6% range over the past 18 months, 2-year yields have risen to
0.734% from a 2017 low of 0.038%.
- RV/HISTOY: The 1.75% Sep-37 is the benchmark 10-year gilt and is currently
trading at 1.768%, near the lower end of the YTD range and 9.7bps outside the
comparable swap. The 5s20s spread has narrowed since the beginning of the year,
trading down to 73bps from  102bps. Market-based inflation expectations have not
moved significantly this year. The 10-year breakeven has held within a 3.0-3.20%
range, while the 5Y5Y inflation swap forward has oscillated between 3.3-3.55%.
- TIMING: Results are due shortly after the auction closes at 0935GMT

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