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THE WEEK AHEAD BY RBC - "AU Labour...>

AUSTRALIA DATA
AUSTRALIA DATA: THE WEEK AHEAD BY RBC - "AU Labour force report (Thu): The RBA
remained upbeat in the November statement on Tuesday, seeing lead indicators as
pointing to "solid growth in employment over the period ahead," with an
associated decline in the unemployment rate from 5.5% over the medium term.
Strong underlying momentum therefore looks likely to continue for the moment,
but perhaps not quite at the +31k average over the last year. We expect a +25k
gain in October, slightly above last month's +19.8k. We move our part rate
estimate down a touch to 65.1% and see the unemployment rate unchanged for the
moment at 5.5%.
- AU Q3 Wage Price Index (WPI, Wed): "Annual growth has been stuck at an
historical low of 1.9% for the last 12 months, with private sector wages running
at an even weaker 1.8% and public sector wages at 2.4%. This disparity is likely
to have continued in Q3, and we expect the 3% increase in the minimum wage to
have boosted the total WPI in the quarter for a 0.7% increase, taking y/y growth
to 2.2%."

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