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Free AccessThere has been no stopping the fall....>
GILT SUMMARY: There has been no stopping the fall in Gilts Friday, likely
weighed on hope of advancement in Brexit negotiations despite EU's Michel
Barnier saying there are only 2-weeks left for UK to clarify its position.
Better than expected industrial production and trade balance data also seen
adding downward pressure.
- 2yr gilt yield is +2.6bp at 0.496%, 5-yr +6.0bp at 0.789%, 10-yr +7.0bp at
1.334% and 30-yr +6.3bp at 1.894% according to Tradeweb. The 10-year Gilt yield
has risen by circa 13bps since Wednesday afternoon.
- Gilts opened lower and remained in lower range following UK 0.7% m/m rise in
industrial production and a narrower trade deficit. But then extended losses
following press conference on last round of Brexit talks.
- Although there was no real update or progress made at the 2-day talks, markets
seemed to take positives from possibility the UK will make a better offer on its
exit bill that will allow sufficient progress to be made ahead of Dec EU summit.
- UK real yields have faired better especially long end with 30-yr breakevens
3.5bp wider. Swap spreads are little changed except 2-yr which is -3.2bps.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.