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Tourism Supporting Exports As Commodity Prices Ease

AUSTRALIA DATA

The trade surplus unexpectedly widened to $11.32bn in June from a downwardly revised $10.5bn. Both exports and imports contracted on the month but exports less so. The series are nominal and so impacted by global commodity prices.

  • Exports fell 1.7% m/m after rising a downwardly revised 3.2% in May. This has left export growth down 10.8% y/y due to negative base effects which should unwind in July. The monthly weakness was driven by other mineral fuels (-8.9% m/m). Services exports rose for the 20th straight month (+2.1%) and are 48.7% higher than a year ago with tourism rising 2.9% m/m in June. Merchandise exports fell 17.2% y/y.
  • Both rural and non-rural shipments fell on the month. Coal fell 6.5% m/m but metal ores rose 2.3%.
  • Imports fell 3.9% m/m after an upwardly revised 3.5% in May, due to non-industrial transport (-32.6%), and they are now up only 0.3% y/y. Services imports rose 2.4% m/m to be up 13% y/y down from 20.5%. Tourism rose 10.2% m/m. Merchandise imports fell 2.6% y/y.
  • Imports of consumer goods fell 12.4% m/m (vehicles -32.6%), capital goods -1.1% and intermediate -3.4%. Machinery & equipment fell again by 7.1% m/m, which is not positive for the capex outlook.
Australia exports y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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