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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: China Equities Lower Post CEWC
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: Sharp Fall In China Bond Yields Continues
Tsys Firmer, Inside Session Range After Tsy Lowers Borrow Estimates
- Treasuries are modestly higher after the bell, holding to a narrow session range, brief bounce after the Tsy borrow estimate decline from $847B to $740B announced.
- There were no major surprises in Treasury's Marketable Borrowing Estimates (link), as the Treasury Department appears to take a middle-of-the-road approach on cash building ahead of the reinstatement of the debt ceiling at the start of 2025.
- The TSY quarterly refunding annc is scheduled for Wednesday at 0830ET, along with ADP, PMI and the next FOMC policy annc. Friday sees the July nonfarm payrolls data.
- Tsy Sep'24 10Y futures trade +5.5 at 111-12 vs. 111-16.5 high -- initial technical resistance followed by 111-17.5 (1.382 of Apr 25-May 16-29 swing). Curves continue to scale back from last week's steepening, 2s10s -2.129 at -21.274.
- Projected rate cut pricing into year end look steady to mildly mixed vs. late Friday levels (*) -- Nov and Dec a touch: July'24 at -4% w/ cumulative at -1bp at 5.319%, Sep'24 cumulative -28.2bp (-28.4bp), Nov'24 cumulative -43.9bp (-45.1bp), Dec'24 -67bp (-67.9bp).
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.