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Tsys Futures Erased Morning's Gains

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures have erased the morning gains, there doesn't seem much of a catalyst for the move, TUU4 is just above overnight lows at 102-16 1/4, while TYU4 is trading at 110-26 just off the US session lows of 110-23+.
  • Looking at technical levels, TYU4 is trading just above initial support at 110-22+ (20-day EMA), while resistance is 111-04+ (200-day EMA), above here 111-15 (July 17 high)
  • Cash treasury curve has pushed wider this morning, yields are about 0.5bp higher with the 10y at 4.246%
  • The futures market is now fully pricing in a rate cut in September, with cumulative 66.5bps of cuts into year-end.

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