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Tsys have edged lower from the get go on....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: Tsys have edged lower from the get go on Monday, as the modest risk off
flows stemming from the weekend's G7 summit have subsided.
- Wednesday's FOMC decision & Tuesday's US CPI release provide the key US
economic points of interest this week. With traders also set to focus on trade
rhetoric & the US-North Korea summit in Singapore.
- Most expect the FOMC to hike on Wednesday, so focus will move onto the
accompanying statement and dot plot. The main focus here will be whether or not
the FOMC's median dot looks for 4 hikes in total during 2018 (including those
already conducted), against the current 3. It is worth noting only one FOMC
member needs to up their forecast to 4 hikes for this to come to fruition.
Elsewhere language re: the neutral interest rate & the symmetrical nature of the
Fed's inflation target will be scrutinised, and Fedwatchers will also be on the
lookout for a potential 20bp hike in the IOER.
- Participants also eye a front-loaded issuance docket, with 3- & 10-Year notes
due on Monday, ahead of Tuesday's 30-Year Bond auction.
- T-Notes last at 119.14+, US 10-Year yield last at 2.955%.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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