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TURKEY: Moody’s Upgrade Turkey’s Credit Rating Citing Move to Orthodox Policy

TURKEY
  • Moody’s followed S&P Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings by upgrading Turkey’s credit rating after hours last Friday. The rating was upgraded two notches to B1, from B3, with a positive outlook. “The key driver of the upgrade to B1 is improvements in governance, more specifically the decisive and increasingly well-established return to orthodox monetary policy,” Moody’s said.
  • Moody’s had revised Turkey’s credit outlook to positive from stable in January. Since then, S&P raised the country’s rating to B+ with a positive outlook in April, while Fitch moved the country’s rating one notch higher to B+ with a positive outlook in March.
  • Moody’s said it expects consumer price inflation to drop sharply to below 45% by December, helped by a slowdown in domestic demand that is under way and real exchange rate appreciation. They expect the current account deficit to be 2.4% of GDP this year and below 2% of GDP in 2025, down from a recent high of 5% in 2022.

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