Free Trial

UK Analysis: Aug Borrowing Down On VAT; YTD At 2007 Low>

-UK August PSNBex Stg5.669 billion vs Stg6.920 billion August 2016
-UK Year-To-Date PSNBex -0.7% over 2016/17 to Stg28.3bn
-UK August net debt ex BoE 80.3% of GDP vs 80.8% in August 2016
By Laurie Laird and Jamie Satchithanantham
     London (MNI) - UK public borrowing fell sharply in August, courtesy 
of a jump in Value Added Tax receipts and a fall in interest payments, 
leaving year-to-date borrowing at its lowest level since 2007.  
     Excluding public sector banks, borrowing decreased to Stg5.669 
billion last month, from Stg6.920 billion in August of 2016, compared to 
the MNI median forecast of Stg7.3 billion. 
     That left net debt, excluding the Bank of England, at 80.3% of 
gross domestic product in August, down from 80.8% a year earlier. 
     Value Added Tax receipts rose by 5.6%, or Stg600 million, to 
Stg11.6 billion, the highest level for the month of August on record. 
     Debt interest outlays fell by Stg200 million to Stg4.6 billion, 
after two months of inflation-linked increases. The retail price index 
rose by a smaller annual rate in August when compared with the July 
increase, leading to the fall in government interest payments, according 
to a National Statistics official. 
     Corporate tax receipts slumped for the third straight month, 
declining by Stg100 million, or 2.7%, to Stg4.8 billion. The official 
was unable to provide a reason for the decline. 
     Year-to-date borrowing rose to Stg28.3 billion in August, a 0.7% 
decline over the same period of last year, and the lowest for the first 
five months of a fiscal year since 2007. 
     That follows a dramatic improvement in the government's finances 
over the 2016/17 financial year, although borrowing was revised upward 
to Stg45.6 billion from the Stg45.2 billion reported last month. 
     The central government net cash requirement fell to Stg985 million 
in August, from St3.696 billion a year earlier, leaving the year-to-date 
CGNR at Stg5.8 billion, the lowest since 2002. CGNR has been kept in 
check by the Bradford and Bingley mortgage sale, and by the absence of 
fundraising linked to index-linked gilt redemptions. The government was 
forced to raise cash to cover redemptions in August of 2016. 
     The current budget deficit fell to Stg2.232 billion in August, 
compared to Stg4.326 billion a year earlier. 
     Including public sector banks, the public sector borrowing declined 
to Stg5.093 billion in August, from Stg6.344 billion a year earlier. 
-London bureau: 44 (0) 203 865 3812; email: ukeditorial@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$B$$$,MABDS$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.