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US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U4) Corrective Recovery Supported by NFP

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS
  • RES 4: 111-17+ 1.236 proj of the Apr 25 - May 16 - 29 price swing
  • RES 3: 111-13   High Mar 25
  • RES 2: 111-01   High Jun 14 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 110-20   High Jul 05  
  • PRICE:‌‌ 110-20 @ 16:46 BST Jul 5 
  • SUP 1: 109-02+/109-00+ Low Jul 1 / Low Jun 10 and key support 
  • SUP 2: 108-27+ Low Jun 3
  • SUP 3: 108-19   Trendline drawn from the Apr 25 low    
  • SUP 4: 107-31   Low May 29 and a key support

Treasuries recovered further off recent lows on the back of the soft NFP print, however the bounce stopped short of any meaningful test of the first resistance and bull trigger at 111-01 - the June 14th high. Despite the latest bounce, the contract remains vulnerable following recent weakness. The bearish breach of both the 20- and 50-day EMAs signals scope for a continuation lower near-term. Such a move would open 109-00+, the Jun 10 low as well as 108-19, a trendline drawn from the Apr 25 low. 

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