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Policy
Policy
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
US CPI: "Underwhelming" And "Weird", With Svcs/Goods Divergence
A couple of immediate reactions to the inflation data miss:
- BMO FICC: "Within the details we see apparel was up +2.2% vs. +0.9% Dec. Used cars and trucks continued to decline showing -0.9% for the second consecutive month -- this had been one of the biggest drivers keeping core-CPI up during the second half of 2020 as people left urban centers for the suburbs and bid up car prices as well as the nature of the pandemic leaving public transportation an unattractive option...Overall, an underwhelming read on realized inflation -- not a game changer for forward expectations however."
- Enduring Investments' Michael Ashton: "This number is weird all over in that many m/m changes are almost identical to last month's changes...overall, core services dropped from 1.6% y/y to 1.3% y/y (!) while core goods stayed at 1.7% y/y. I rather expected the latter to rise, especially with the apparel jump, so will have to dig deep on that one."
- Renaissance Macro: "The important story from CPI is that the gap between core goods & core services continues to widen. Core goods tend to be flexible, while core services are sticky. So, for now, if core services ain't picking up, it's hard to see a strong case for a broader inflation pick-up"
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.