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US DATA: Building Permits And Starts Slip To Post-Pandemic Lows

US DATA
  • Building permits disappointed in July at 1396k (cons 1425k) after a mildly upward revised 1454k (1446k). 
  • It left them down 4% M/M after a 3.9% increase in June, led by a sharp pullback in multi-units after a spike (-11% after 16%) whilst single family units held onto prior declines (-0.1% after -1.8%). 
  • The June increase remains somewhat of an anomaly – the only increase in the past five months – during which permits have fallen 11% for post-pandemic lows.
  • It sees the overall level of starts back almost exactly in line with the 2019 average although this won’t help alleviate housing pressures from stronger population growth since then. 
  • Noisier housing starts data were more disappointing again with -6.8% M/M (cons -1.5) after a downward revised 1.1% increase (initial 3.0%). 
  • Starts saw the polar opposite compositional story though, with single unit dwellings tumbling -14% vs multi-units +14.5%. 

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