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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of Market Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for upcoming
U.S. economic indicators provided by Bloomberg.
Initial Jobless Claims (millions)
Thursday, July 2 at 8:30am (ET)
Claims filed through June 27 should fall to 1.350 million after reaching
1.48 million in the week ending June 20. The pace of initial claims has slowed
in recent weeks, but by less than expected, and new clusters of Covid-19
infections have appeared as states continue to reopen, which could lengthen a
labor market recovery.
Trade in Goods and Services (deficit, billions)
Thursday, July 2 at 8:30am (ET)
The trade deficit is expected to increase to -USD53.1 billion in May from
-USD49.4 billion in April. The advance report showed the goods gap widening to
USD74.3 billion as imports declined by less than expected. Imports of industrial
supplies and consumer goods rose in May, an indication of the recovery.
Nonfarm Payrolls for March (change in thousands and millions)
Thursday, July 2 at 8:30am (ET)
Actual
Median Jun20 May20 Apr20
Payrolls 3.074m -- 2.509m -20.687m
Private Jobs 3.000m -- 3.094m -19.724m
Jobless Rate 12.5% -- 13.3% 14.7%
Avg Hrly Earnings -0.8% -- -1.0% +4.7%
Avg Wkly Hrs 34.5 -- 34.7 34.2
The U.S. labor market should continue to show signs of improvement through
June, with markets expecting nonfarm payrolls to increase by 3.1 million,
slightly stronger than May's 2.5 million gain as employers continue to reverse
the record-setting -20.5 million decline in April.
Claims data have suggested that layoffs are slowing. The Census Bureau's
weekly Small Business Pulse Survey showed 10.2% of businesses increased workers
through the June survey week compared to 7.9% in May, though 11.2% of businesses
shrank their workforce.
Factory Orders (percent change)
Thursday, July 2 at 10:00am (ET)
New factory orders are expected to rise +8.6% in May, reversing some of
April's -13.0% drop.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: jean.yung@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.