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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.    
Weekly Jobless Claims for September 2 week                              
 Thursday, September 7 at 8:30 a.m. ET                   Actual:        
                  Median         Range               Sep02  Aug26  Aug19
 Weekly Claims      248k     235k to 265k               --   236k   235k
     Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rise  
by 12,000 to 248,000 in the September 2 week after a 1,000 increase in the
previous week, likely reflecting filings in the hurricane-affected    
regions. The four-week moving average, which has declined for five      
straight weeks, would rise by 1,000 in the coming week as the 244,000     
level in the August 5 week drops out of the calculation, assuming the   
MNI forecast is correct and there are no revisions.                     
Nonfarm Productivity for Second Quarter, revised (ann rate % change)    
 Thursday, September 7 at 8:30 a.m. ET                   Actual:        
                   Median         Range              2Q17r  2Q17p   1Q17
 Productivity       +1.4%     +0.9% to +1.5%            --  +0.9%  +0.1%
 Unit Labor Costs   +0.3%     +0.1% to +0.6%            --  +0.6%  +5.4%
     Comments: Nonfarm productivity is expected to be revised up to a   
1.4% rate of growth in the second quarter, as the output component      
should be revised up based on the GDP data. Unit labor costs are        
expected to be revised down to a 0.3% rate.                                
Consumer Credit for July (dollar change, billions)                      
 Friday, September 8 at 3:00 p.m. ET                     Actual:        
             Median           Range                Jul17   Jun17   May17
 Cons Cred  +$15.0b    +$14.0b to +$17.4b             -- +$12.4b +$18.3b
     Comments: Consumer credit is expected to rise by $15.0 billion in  
July after a $12.4 billion rise in June. Retail sales rose 0.6% and were
still up 0.5% excluding a 1.2% surge in motor vehicle sales.            
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$U$$$]

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