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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Weekly Jobless Claims for September 2 week
Thursday, September 7 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Sep02 Aug26 Aug19
Weekly Claims 248k 235k to 265k -- 236k 235k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rise
by 12,000 to 248,000 in the September 2 week after a 1,000 increase in the
previous week, likely reflecting filings in the hurricane-affected
regions. The four-week moving average, which has declined for five
straight weeks, would rise by 1,000 in the coming week as the 244,000
level in the August 5 week drops out of the calculation, assuming the
MNI forecast is correct and there are no revisions.
Nonfarm Productivity for Second Quarter, revised (ann rate % change)
Thursday, September 7 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range 2Q17r 2Q17p 1Q17
Productivity +1.4% +0.9% to +1.5% -- +0.9% +0.1%
Unit Labor Costs +0.3% +0.1% to +0.6% -- +0.6% +5.4%
Comments: Nonfarm productivity is expected to be revised up to a
1.4% rate of growth in the second quarter, as the output component
should be revised up based on the GDP data. Unit labor costs are
expected to be revised down to a 0.3% rate.
Consumer Credit for July (dollar change, billions)
Friday, September 8 at 3:00 p.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jul17 Jun17 May17
Cons Cred +$15.0b +$14.0b to +$17.4b -- +$12.4b +$18.3b
Comments: Consumer credit is expected to rise by $15.0 billion in
July after a $12.4 billion rise in June. Retail sales rose 0.6% and were
still up 0.5% excluding a 1.2% surge in motor vehicle sales.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.