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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts 

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Jan 25/15:06 EST Jan 25
     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.
Durable Goods Orders for December (percent change)
 Friday, January 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET                     Actual:        
               Median        Range                   Dec17  Nov17  Oct17  
 New Orders     +0.9%      -1.5% to +3.1%               --  +1.3%  -0.4% 
 Ex-Transport   +0.5%      -0.2% to +0.8%               --  -0.1%  +1.4%
     Comments: Durable goods orders are expected to rise by 0.9% in 
December after a 1.3% gain in November. Boeing orders surged to 265 from 
159 in November, suggesting nondefense aircraft orders could rise even 
further. Orders excluding transportation are expected to post a 0.5% 
increase after a 0.1% decline in November, showing underlying strength. 
GDP for Fourth Quarter (advance estimate)
 Friday, January 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET                      Actual:        
               Median         Range                   4Q17a   3Q17  2Q17
 GDP            +3.0%      +2.7% to +3.8%                --  +3.2% +3.1% 
 Chain Prices   +2.3%      +2.1% to +2.5%                --  +2.1% +1.0%
     Comments: The advance estimate of fourth quarter GDP is expected to 
be rise by 3.0% after a 3.2% gain in the previous quarter, marking a 
third straight quarter above 3%. A large surge in PCE growth is expected 
to be the key factor, based on recent retail sales data. In addition, 
both residential and nonresidential fixed investment are expected post 
gains in the quarter, while inventory growth should post a small 
negative contribution. The chain price index is expected to accelerate 
to a 2.3% rate from 2.1% in the previous quarter. 
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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