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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Jan 25/15:06 EST Jan 25
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Durable Goods Orders for December (percent change)
Friday, January 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec17 Nov17 Oct17
New Orders +0.9% -1.5% to +3.1% -- +1.3% -0.4%
Ex-Transport +0.5% -0.2% to +0.8% -- -0.1% +1.4%
Comments: Durable goods orders are expected to rise by 0.9% in
December after a 1.3% gain in November. Boeing orders surged to 265 from
159 in November, suggesting nondefense aircraft orders could rise even
further. Orders excluding transportation are expected to post a 0.5%
increase after a 0.1% decline in November, showing underlying strength.
GDP for Fourth Quarter (advance estimate)
Friday, January 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range 4Q17a 3Q17 2Q17
GDP +3.0% +2.7% to +3.8% -- +3.2% +3.1%
Chain Prices +2.3% +2.1% to +2.5% -- +2.1% +1.0%
Comments: The advance estimate of fourth quarter GDP is expected to
be rise by 3.0% after a 3.2% gain in the previous quarter, marking a
third straight quarter above 3%. A large surge in PCE growth is expected
to be the key factor, based on recent retail sales data. In addition,
both residential and nonresidential fixed investment are expected post
gains in the quarter, while inventory growth should post a small
negative contribution. The chain price index is expected to accelerate
to a 2.3% rate from 2.1% in the previous quarter.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.