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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Apr 18/17:06 EST Apr 18
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Weekly Jobless Claims for April 14 week
Thursday, April 19 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr14 Apr07 Mar31
Weekly Claims 230k 222k to 230k -- 233k 242k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to fall
by 3,000 to 230,000 in the April 14 employment survey week after a 9,000
decrease in the previous week. Claims were at a level of 227,000 in the
March 17 employment survey week. The four-week moving average would rise
by 750 in the coming week, as that 227,000 level in the March 17 week
drops out of the calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and
there are no revisions.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Index for April (diffusion index)
Thursday, April 19 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr18 Mar18 Feb18
Phila Fed 21.0 18.0 to 22.0 -- 22.3 25.8
Comments: The Philadelphia Fed reading is forecast to dip further
to a reading of 21.0 in April after falling to 22.3 in the previous
month.
Leading Indicators for March (percent change)
Thursday, April 19 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar18 Feb18 Jan18
Leading Index +0.3% +0.2% to +0.3% -- +0.6% +0.8%
Comments: The index of leading indicators is forecast to rise by
0.3% in February, continuing the string of solid gains. However, a
shorter factory workweek, a decline in consumer expectations, and a drop
in the ISM new orders reading provide some downside risk.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.