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Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Apr 6/17:06 EST Apr 6
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
Producer Price Index for March (percent change)
Tuesday, April 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar18 Feb18 Jan18
Final Demand +0.1% Flat to +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.4%
Ex Food,Energy +0.2% +0.2% to +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.4%
Comments: Final demand PPI is expected to rise 0.1% in March after
a 0.2% gain in February. Energy prices are expected to exert a small
contribution after a dip in February, while food prices are expected to
drag again after 0.4% decline. Excluding food and energy prices, PPI is
forecast to rise 0.2X% after an as-expected 0.2% increase in the
Consumer Price Index for March (percent change)
Wednesday, April 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Mar18 Feb18 Jan18
CPI Flat -0.1% to +0.1% -- +0.2% +0.5%
CPI Core +0.2% +0.1% to +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.3%
Comments: The CPI is expected to come in flat in March following an
as-expected 0.2% rise in February. A decline in March 2017 due to
falling cell phone prices may lead to a rise in the year/year rate for
both overall and core CPI. For March, AAA reported a decrease in
mid-month prices from February, which could hold back gasoline prices in
the CPI data. The core CPI is forecast to rise 0.2% following an
unsurprising 0.2% increase in February.
Treasury Statement for March ($ billions)
Wednesday, April 11 at 2:00 p.m ET Actual:
Median Range Mar18 Feb18 Mar17
Balance -$187.0b -$187.0b to -$187.0b -- -$215.2b -$176.2b
Comments: The US Treasury is expected to post a $187.0 billion
deficit in March, wider than the $176.2 billion deficit posted in March
2017. There are calendar issues with both March 2017 and March 2018, as
April 1 transfer payments were shifted into March, boosting outlays.
Weekly Jobless Claims for April 7 week
Thursday, April 12 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr7 Mar31 Mar24
Weekly Claims 230k 229k to 230k -- 242k 218k
The level of initial jobless claims is expected to fall by 12,000
to 230,000 in the April 7 week after a 24,000 increase in the previous
week. The four-week moving average would rise by 1,000 in the coming
week, as the 226,000 level in the March 10 week drops out of the
calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no
University of Michigan Survey for April (preliminary)
Friday, April 13 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr18p Mar18 Feb18
Consumer Sent 100.2 98.0 to 101.4 -- 101.4 99.7
Comments: The University of Michigan Sentiment index is expected to
be down to 100.2 in early-April from 101.4 in March.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: email@example.com