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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts 

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Apr 6/17:06 EST Apr 6
     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.    
Producer Price Index for March (percent change)                         
 Tuesday, April 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET                       Actual:        
                 Median         Range                Mar18  Feb18  Jan18
 Final Demand    +0.1%       Flat to +0.2%              --  +0.2%  +0.4%
 Ex Food,Energy  +0.2%      +0.2% to +0.2%              --  +0.2%  +0.4%
     Comments: Final demand PPI is expected to rise 0.1% in March after 
a 0.2% gain in February. Energy prices are expected to exert a small    
contribution after a dip in February,  while food prices are expected to
drag again after 0.4% decline. Excluding food and energy prices, PPI is 
forecast to rise 0.2X% after an as-expected 0.2% increase in the        
previous month.                                                         
Consumer Price Index for March (percent change)                         
 Wednesday, April 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET                     Actual:        
              Median         Range                   Mar18  Feb18  Jan18
 CPI          Flat       -0.1% to +0.1%                 --  +0.2%  +0.5%
 CPI Core     +0.2%      +0.1% to +0.2%                 --  +0.2%  +0.3%
     Comments: The CPI is expected to come in flat in March following an
as-expected 0.2% rise in February. A decline in March 2017 due to       
falling cell phone prices may lead to a rise in the year/year rate for  
both overall and core CPI. For March, AAA reported a decrease in        
mid-month prices from February, which could hold back gasoline prices in
the CPI data. The core CPI is forecast to rise 0.2% following an        
unsurprising 0.2% increase in February.                                 
Treasury Statement for March ($ billions)                               
 Wednesday, April 11 at 2:00 p.m ET                      Actual:        
             Median           Range              Mar18    Feb18    Mar17
 Balance     -$187.0b  -$187.0b to -$187.0b         -- -$215.2b -$176.2b
     Comments: The US Treasury is expected to post a $187.0 billion     
deficit in March, wider than the $176.2 billion deficit posted in March 
2017. There are calendar issues with both March 2017 and March 2018, as 
April 1 transfer payments were shifted into March, boosting outlays.    
Weekly Jobless Claims for April 7 week                                  
 Thursday, April 12 at 8:30 a.m. ET                       Actual:       
                 Median         Range                  Apr7  Mar31 Mar24
 Weekly Claims   230k        229k to 230k               --   242k   218k
     The level of initial jobless claims is expected to fall by 12,000  
to 230,000 in the April 7 week after a 24,000 increase in the previous  
week. The four-week moving average would rise by 1,000 in the coming    
week, as the 226,000 level in the March 10 week drops out of the        
calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no      
revisions.                                                              
University of Michigan Survey for April (preliminary)                   
 Friday, April 13 at 10:00 a.m. ET                       Actual:        
                Median           Range              Apr18p  Mar18  Feb18
 Consumer Sent  100.2         98.0 to 101.4             --  101.4   99.7
     Comments: The University of Michigan Sentiment index is expected to
be down to 100.2 in early-April from 101.4 in March.                            
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
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