-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey
Data for: March 2018
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1-Yr Pct
Pct Change Pct Change 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
1-yr infl 3-yr infl Gas Food
Sep17 2.54 2.80 4.66 4.58
Oct17 2.61 2.81 3.83 4.30
Nov17 2.61 2.78 4.31 4.35
Dec17 2.82 2.89 4.11 4.60
Jan18 2.71 2.79 4.34 4.34
Feb18 2.83 2.88 4.29 4.31
Mar18 2.75 2.91 4.62 4.49
1-Yr Pct 1-Yr Pct
Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg 1-Yr Pct Chg Chg
Medical College Rent Gold
Sep17 9.26 5.86 5.43 2.85
Oct17 9.70 6.58 5.48 2.90
Nov17 9.70 7.96 5.56 2.47
Dec17 9.51 7.80 5.47 2.83
Jan18 9.24 7.77 5.45 2.93
Feb18 9.12 5.98 5.34 2.58
Mar18 8.82 5.91 5.19 2.95
1-yr 1-yr
1-yr Household Household Change
Pct Growth Spending
In Pct Growth In Income Growth Growth In Taxes
Pct
Home Prices Earnings Pct Change Pct Change Change
Sep17 3.02 2.25 2.20 2.69 2.17
Oct17 3.02 2.12 2.58 2.84 2.32
Nov17 3.29 2.57 2.98 3.58 2.26
Dec17 3.17 2.67 2.77 2.89 2.18
Jan18 3.46 2.73 2.76 2.85 1.64
Feb18 3.33 2.67 2.97 2.95 1.50
Mar18 3.48 2.61 2.87 3.08 1.67
Probability
Of Probability Of
Higher
Unemp Higher Stock 1-yr Govt
Rates 1-yr Prices 1-yr Debt Growth
From Now From Now Pct Change
Sep17 35.74 41.98 5.66
Oct17 36.00 42.92 5.92
Nov17 33.66 42.55 7.81
Dec17 33.45 44.30 7.18
Jan18 32.38 44.90 5.89
Feb18 32.25 43.02 7.53
Mar18 34.45 42.02 6.95
Probability Of
The Following
Occurring
Change In
Job Voluntary Job Finding Home
Next 12
Separation Separation In 3 Months Mos
Sep17 13.79 20.61 59.20 18.56
Oct17 15.34 23.09 57.67 18.10
Nov17 13.49 21.48 60.13 16.60
Dec17 13.78 21.66 60.02 17.60
Jan18 14.90 22.07 59.74 15.91
Feb18 12.75 21.35 59.70 18.27
Mar18 13.91 19.34 57.57 17.34
Probability
Of Probability Of
Unable To
Make Higher Savings
Minimum
Payment Acct Interest Rates
Next 3 Mos 1-yr From Now
Sep17 13.39 33.82
Oct17 12.77 32.93
Nov17 12.50 34.00
Dec17 12.45 34.51
Jan18 12.33 34.87
Feb18 11.56 36.48
Mar18 10.72 37.07
Credit Availability
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Sep17 5.90 24.74 46.80 19.99 2.56
Oct17 6.15 22.26 49.27 19.67 2.66
Nov17 5.01 23.32 47.86 21.26 2.55
Dec17 6.55 20.43 49.85 20.29 2.88
Jan18 3.75 20.56 48.37 24.21 3.11
Feb18 4.15 20.54 49.93 22.02 3.37
Mar18 4.24 21.17 52.91 18.51 3.16
Credit Availability
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat Equally Somewhat Much
Harder Harder Easy/Hard Easier Easier
Sep17 5.89 24.02 49.60 18.19 2.30
Oct17 4.87 23.33 50.90 18.19 2.71
Nov17 4.88 23.79 50.05 18.79 2.49
Dec17 6.25 22.99 49.34 18.62 2.80
Jan18 4.05 21.44 49.85 21.60 3.06
Feb18 4.14 23.44 49.77 19.52 3.14
Mar18 3.61 23.53 53.48 15.99 3.39
Household Finances
Compared With Year
Ago
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Sep17 2.28 17.51 47.95 27.93 4.33
Oct17 2.91 15.77 46.75 30.38 4.19
Nov17 2.63 16.52 47.45 29.18 4.22
Dec17 2.47 15.01 45.52 30.32 6.68
Jan18 1.43 16.82 43.08 32.87 5.81
Feb18 1.97 14.20 43.60 34.84 5.38
Mar18 2.19 13.31 44.12 34.33 6.05
Household Finances
Seen Year From Now
Much Somewhat About Somewhat Much
Better
Worse Off Worse Off The Same Better Off Off
Sep17 1.10 11.68 46.93 33.89 6.40
Oct17 1.00 10.44 47.63 34.82 6.10
Nov17 0.87 11.71 45.27 36.23 5.92
Dec17 1.17 10.27 45.39 34.97 8.19
Jan18 0.69 11.82 41.84 37.44 8.21
Feb18 0.48 9.67 44.29 38.18 7.38
Mar18 0.91 10.92 44.22 36.39 7.56
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDA$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.