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JGB TECHS

(Z1) Bearish Trend Condition

AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(Z1) Bearish Price Sequence

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS

(Z1) Off Recent Highs

US 10YR FUTURE TECHS

(Z1)‌‌ Support Appears Exposed

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24-Apr 0830 **  Apr    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           30.1    --
24-Apr 0855 **  21-Apr Redbook retail sales m/m                 0.5    --   %
24-Apr 0900 **  Feb    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.8    --   %
24-Apr 0900 **  Feb    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.8    --
24-Apr 1000 *** Mar    new home sales                         0.618 0.630 m 
24-Apr 1000 *   Mar    bldg permits revision                  1.354    -- m 
24-Apr 1000 **  Apr    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    15    --
24-Apr 1000 *** Apr    Conference Board confidence            127.7 126.0
 
25-Apr 0700 **  20-Apr MBA Mortgage Applications                4.9    --   %
25-Apr 1030 **  20-Apr crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w           -1.07    -- m bbl
 
26-Apr 0830 **  21-Apr jobless claims                           232   231 k 
26-Apr 0830 **  Mar    durable goods new orders                 3.1   1.7   %
26-Apr 0830 **  Mar    durable new orders ex transport          1.2   0.5   %
26-Apr 0830 **  Mar    advance goods trade gap                -77.0    -- b USD
26-Apr 0830 **  Mar    advance wholesale inventories            1.0    --   %
26-Apr 0830 **  Mar    advance retail inventories               0.4    --   %
26-Apr 0945 *   22-Apr Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
26-Apr 1000 **  Q1     housing vacancies rate                   1.6    --   %
26-Apr 1030 **  20-Apr natural gas stocks w/w                   -36    --   Bcf
26-Apr 1100 **  Apr    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 17    --
26-Apr 1630 **  25-Apr Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
27-Apr 0830 **  Q1     ECI                                      0.6   0.7   %
27-Apr 0830 *** Q1     GDP (adv)                                2.9   1.9   %
27-Apr 0830 *** Q1     GDP Price Index                          2.3   2.4   %
27-Apr 1000 *** Apr    Michigan sentiment index (f)            97.8  98.0
27-Apr 1100 **  Q2     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
27-Apr 1115 **  Q2     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                       2.9    --   %
27-Apr 1500 *   Mar    farm prices                              5.7    --   %
 
30-Apr 0830 **  Mar    personal income                          0.4    --   %
30-Apr 0830 **  Mar    current dollar PCE                       0.2    --   %
30-Apr 0830 **  Mar    total PCE price index                    0.2    --   %
30-Apr 0830 **  Mar    core PCE price index                     0.2    --   %
30-Apr 0900 *   Apr    ISM-Milwaukee Mfg Index                   --    --
30-Apr 0945 **  Apr    MNI Chicago PMI                         57.4    --
30-Apr 1000 **  Mar    NAR pending home sales index           107.5    --
30-Apr 1030 **  Apr    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          21.4    --
 
01-May  -   *** Apr    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR        13.3    -- m 
01-May 0855 **  28-Apr Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
01-May 0945 *** Apr    Markit Mfg Index (final)                56.5    --
01-May 1000 *** Apr    ISM Manufacturing Index                 59.3    --
01-May 1000 *   Mar    construction spending                    0.1    --   %
01-May 1030 **  May    Dallas Fed services index               13.5    --
 
02-May 0700 **  27-Apr MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
02-May 0815 *** Apr    ADP private payrolls                     241    -- k 
02-May 0945 *   Apr    ISM-NY current conditions               54.0    --
02-May 1000 *   May    help-wanted online ratio                1.25    --
02-May 1030 **  27-Apr crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
03-May 0730 *   Apr    challenger layoff plans                 39.4    --   %
03-May 0830 **  28-Apr jobless claims                            --    -- k 
03-May 0830 **  Q1     non-farm productivity (p)                0.0    --   %
03-May 0830 **  Q1     unit labor costs (p)                     2.5    --   %
03-May 0830 **  Mar    trade balance                          -57.6    -- b USD
03-May 0945 *** Apr    Markit Services Index (final)           54.4    --
03-May 0945 *   29-Apr Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
03-May 1000 *** Apr    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             58.8    --
03-May 1000 **  Mar    factory new orders                       1.2    --   %
03-May 1000 **  Mar    factory orders ex transport              0.1    --   %
03-May 1030 **  27-Apr natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
03-May 1630 **  02-May Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
04-May 0830 *** Apr    nonfarm payrolls                         103    -- k 
04-May 0830 *** Apr    private payrolls                         102    -- k 
04-May 0830 *** Apr    unemployment rate                        4.1    --   %
04-May 0830 *** Apr    average hourly earnings                  0.3    --   %
04-May 0830 *** Apr    average workweek, all workers           34.5    --   hrs
04-May 1100 **  Q2     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
04-May 1115 **  Q2     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
04-May 1500 *   Apr    Treasury STRIPS Holdings                  --    -- b USD
 
07-May 1000 *   Apr    ETI                                    107.72   --
07-May 1500 *   Mar    consumer credit                         10.6    -- b USD
07-May 1500 *   Apr    Treasury Allotments (final)               --    -- b USD
 
08-May 0600 **  Apr    NFIB Small Business Index              104.7    --
08-May 0855 **  05-May Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
08-May 1000 **  May    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 52.6    --
08-May 1000 **  Mar    JOLTS job openings level                6052    -- k 
08-May 1000 **  Mar    JOLTS quits rate                         2.2    --   %
 
09-May 0700 **  04-May MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
09-May 0830 *** Apr    Final Demand PPI                         0.3    --   %
09-May 0830 *** Apr    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.3    --   %
09-May 0830 *** Apr    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.4    --   %
09-May 1000 **  Mar    wholesale inventories                    1.0    --   %
09-May 1000 **  Mar    wholesale sales                          1.0    --   %
09-May 1030 **  04-May crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
09-May 1100 **  Apr    Kansas City Fed LMCI                      --    --
 
10-May 0830 **  05-May jobless claims                            --    -- k 
10-May 0830 *** Apr    CPI                                     -0.1    --   %
10-May 0830 *** Apr    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.2    --   %
10-May 0945 *   06-May Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
10-May 1030 **  04-May natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
10-May 1400 **  Apr    Treasury budget balance                -208.7   -- b USD
10-May 1630 **  09-May Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
11-May 0830 **  Apr    imports price index                      0.0    --   %
11-May 0830 **  Apr    exports price index                      0.3    --   %
11-May 1000 *** May    Michigan sentiment index (p)              --    --
11-May 1100 **  Q2     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
11-May 1115 **  Q2     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
14-May 1100 **  May    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
 
15-May 0830 *** Apr    retail sales                             0.6    --   %
15-May 0830 *** Apr    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           0.2    --   %
15-May 0830 *** Apr    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.3    --   %
15-May 0830 **  May    Empire Manufacturing Index              15.8    --
15-May 0855 **  12-May Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
15-May 1000 *   Mar    business inventories                     0.6    --   %
15-May 1000 **  May    NAHB home builder index                   69    --
15-May 1600 **  Mar    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
15-May 1600 **  Mar    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
16-May 0700 **  11-May MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
16-May 0830 *** Apr    housing starts                         1.319    -- m 
16-May 0830 *** Apr    building permits                       1.354    -- m 
16-May 0830 **  May    NY Fed Business Leaders Index            4.1    --
16-May 0915 *** Apr    industrial production                    0.5    --   %
16-May 0915 *** Apr    capacity utilization                    78.0    --   %
16-May 1000 **  May    Atlanta Fed inflation                    2.3    --   %
16-May 1030 **  11-May crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
17-May 0830 **  12-May jobless claims                            --    -- k 
17-May 0830 **  May    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              23.2    --
17-May 0945 *   13-May Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
17-May 1000 *   Q1     e-commerce retail sales                   --    --   %
17-May 1000 **  Apr    leading indicators                       0.3    --   %
17-May 1030 **  11-May natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
17-May 1630 **  16-May Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]