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AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS

(Z2) More Stable, But Remains Fragile

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USDCAD TECHS

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US: Economic Data Calendar

Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
05-Feb 0700 **  31-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                7.2    --   %
05-Feb 0815 *** Jan    ADP private payrolls                     202   158 k 
05-Feb 0830 **  Dec    trade balance                          -43.1 -48.2 b USD
05-Feb 0945 *** Jan    Markit Services Index (final)           53.2  53.2
05-Feb 1000 *** Jan    ISM Non-manufacturing Index             54.9  55.1
05-Feb 1030 **  31-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
06-Feb 0730 *   Jan    challenger layoff plans                -25.2    --   %
06-Feb 0830 **  01-Feb jobless claims                           216   215 k 
06-Feb 0830 **  Q4     non-farm productivity (p)               -0.2   1.6   %
06-Feb 0830 **  Q4     unit labor costs (p)                     2.5   1.3   %
06-Feb 1030 **  31-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
06-Feb 1630 **  05-Feb Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
07-Feb 0830 *** Jan    nonfarm payrolls                         145   160 k 
07-Feb 0830 *** Jan    private payrolls                         139   150 k 
07-Feb 0830 *** Jan    unemployment rate                        3.5   3.5   %
07-Feb 0830 *** Jan    average hourly earnings                  0.1   0.3   %
07-Feb 0830 *** Jan    average workweek, all workers           34.3  34.3   hrs
07-Feb 1000 **  Dec    wholesale inventories                   -0.1  -0.1   %
07-Feb 1000 **  Dec    wholesale sales                          1.5   0.1   %
07-Feb 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
07-Feb 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      1.32    --   %
07-Feb 1500 *   Dec    consumer credit                        12.513 15.0 b USD
10-Feb 1100 **  Feb    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
11-Feb 0600 **  Jan    NFIB Small Business Index                 --    --
11-Feb 0855 **  08-Feb Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
11-Feb 1000 **  Dec    JOLTS job openings level                  --    -- k 
11-Feb 1000 **  Dec    JOLTS quits rate                          --    --   %
12-Feb 0700 **  07-Feb MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
12-Feb 1030 **  07-Feb crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
12-Feb 1400 **  Jan    Treasury budget balance                   --    -- b USD
13-Feb 0830 **  08-Feb jobless claims                            --    -- k 
13-Feb 0830 *** Jan    CPI                                      0.2    --   %
13-Feb 0830 *** Jan    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.1    --   %
13-Feb 1030 **  07-Feb natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
13-Feb 1630 **  12-Feb Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
14-Feb 0830 *** Jan    retail sales                             0.3    --   %
14-Feb 0830 *** Jan    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           0.7    --   %
14-Feb 0830 *** Jan    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.5    --   %
14-Feb 0830 **  Jan    imports price index                      0.3    --   %
14-Feb 0830 **  Jan    exports price index                     -0.2    --   %
14-Feb 0915 *** Jan    industrial production                     --    --   %
14-Feb 0915 *** Jan    capacity utilization                      --    --   %
14-Feb 1000 *** Feb    Michigan sentiment index (p)            96.8  97.0
14-Feb 1000 *   Dec    business inventories                    -0.2    --   %
14-Feb 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
14-Feb 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      1.32    --   %
18-Feb 0830 **  Feb    Empire Manufacturing Index                --    --
18-Feb 1000 **  Feb    NAHB home builder index                   --    --
18-Feb 1600 **  Dec    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
18-Feb 1600 **  Dec    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
19-Feb 0700 **  14-Feb MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
19-Feb 0830 *** Jan    housing starts                            --    -- m 
19-Feb 0830 *** Jan    building permits                          --    -- m 
19-Feb 0830 *** Jan    Final Demand PPI                         0.1    --   %
19-Feb 0830 *** Jan    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.1    --   %
19-Feb 0830 *** Jan    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.1    --   %
19-Feb 0830 **  Feb    NY Fed Business Leaders Index             --    --
19-Feb 0855 **  15-Feb Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
19-Feb 1000 *   Q4     Service Revenue                          1.3    --   %
20-Feb 0830 **  15-Feb jobless claims                            --    -- k 
20-Feb 0830 **  Feb    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index               0.3    --
20-Feb 1030 **  14-Feb natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
20-Feb 1100 **  14-Feb crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
20-Feb 1630 **  19-Feb Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
21-Feb 0945 *** Feb    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                  --    --
21-Feb 0945 *** Feb    Markit Services Index (flash)             --    --
21-Feb 1000 *** Jan    existing home sales                     5.54    -- m 
21-Feb 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
21-Feb 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      1.32    --   %
24-Feb 1030 **  Feb    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          -3.2    --
25-Feb 0830 **  Feb    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           13.4    --
25-Feb 0855 **  22-Feb Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
25-Feb 0900 **  Dec    FHFA Home Price Index                     --    --   %
25-Feb 0900 **  Q4     FHFA Quarterly Home Prices                --    --   %
25-Feb 0900 **  Dec    Case-Shiller Home Price Index          218.1    --
25-Feb 1000 *** Feb    Conference Board confidence               --    --
25-Feb 1000 **  Feb    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    --    --
25-Feb 1030 **  Feb    Dallas Fed services index               13.5    --
26-Feb 0700 **  21-Feb MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
26-Feb 1000 *** Jan    new home sales                         0.694    -- m 
26-Feb 1030 **  21-Feb crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
27-Feb 0830 **  22-Feb jobless claims                            --    -- k 
27-Feb 0830 **  Jan    durable goods new orders                 2.4    --   %
27-Feb 0830 **  Jan    durable new orders ex transport         -0.1    --   %
27-Feb 0830 *** Q4     GDP (2nd)                                 --    --   %
27-Feb 0830 *** Q4     GDP Price Index                           --    --   %
27-Feb 1000 **  Jan    NAR pending home sales index              --    --
27-Feb 1030 **  21-Feb natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
27-Feb 1100 **  Feb    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 --    --
27-Feb 1630 **  26-Feb Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    personal income                           --    --   %
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    current dollar PCE                        --    --   %
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    total PCE price index                     --    --   %
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    core PCE price index                      --    --   %
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    advance goods trade gap                   --    -- b USD
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    advance wholesale inventories             --    --   %
28-Feb 0830 **  Jan    advance retail inventories                --    --   %
28-Feb 0945 **  Feb    MNI Chicago PMI                           --    --
28-Feb 1000 *** Feb    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
28-Feb 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
28-Feb 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                      1.32    --   %
02-Mar 0945 *** Feb    Markit Mfg Index (final)                52.2  52.2
02-Mar 1000 *** Feb    ISM Manufacturing Index                   --    --
02-Mar 1000 *   Jan    construction spending                     --    --   %
03-Mar  -   *** Feb    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR       17.09  17.0 m 
03-Mar 0855 **  29-Feb Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
03-Mar 0945 *   Feb    ISM-NY current conditions                 --    --
04-Mar 0700 **  28-Feb MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
04-Mar 0815 *** Feb    ADP private payrolls                      --    -- k 
04-Mar 0945 *** Feb    Markit Services Index (final)             --    --
04-Mar 1000 *** Feb    ISM Non-manufacturing Index               --    --
04-Mar 1030 **  28-Feb crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
05-Mar 0730 *   Feb    challenger layoff plans                   --    --   %
05-Mar 0830 **  29-Feb jobless claims                            --    -- k 
05-Mar 0830 **  Q4     non-farm productivity (f)                 --    --   %
05-Mar 0830 **  Q4     unit labor costs (f)                      --    --   %
05-Mar 1000 **  Jan    factory new orders                        --    --   %
05-Mar 1000 **  Jan    factory orders ex transport               --    --   %
05-Mar 1030 **  28-Feb natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
05-Mar 1630 **  04-Mar Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]

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