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US TSYS SUMMARY

Substantial Further Progress Not Yet Reached

USDCAD TECHS

Runs Counter to Trend

AUDUSD TECHS

Fed Bounce Stops Short

EURJPY TECHS

Bearish Trend Conditions

USDJPY TECHS

Bearish Threat

US Economic Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
     
Date    ET                                                    Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
08-Jan 1000 *   Dec    ETI                                    135.88   --
08-Jan 1100 **  Jan    NY Fed expectations survey                --    --
08-Jan 1500 *   Nov    consumer credit                         20.5  18.3 b USD
08-Jan 1500 *   Dec    Treasury Allotments (final)               --    -- b USD
 
09-Jan 0600 **  Dec    NFIB Small Business Index              107.5    --
09-Jan 0855 **  06-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                 0.3    --   %
09-Jan 1000 **  Jan    IBD/TIPP Optimism Index                 51.9    --
09-Jan 1000 **  Nov    JOLTS job openings level                5996    -- k 
09-Jan 1000 **  Nov    JOLTS quits rate                         2.2    --   %
 
10-Jan 0700 **  05-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications               -2.8    --   %
10-Jan 0830 **  Dec    imports price index                      0.5   0.3   %
10-Jan 0830 **  Dec    exports price index                      0.7    --   %
10-Jan 1000 **  Nov    wholesale inventories                   -0.5    --   %
10-Jan 1000 **  Nov    wholesale sales                          0.7    --   %
10-Jan 1000 **  Jan    Atlanta Fed inflation                    2.1    --   %
10-Jan 1030 **  05-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w           -7.42    -- m bbl
10-Jan 1100 **  Dec    Kansas City Fed LMCI                      --    --
 
11-Jan 0830 **  06-Jan jobless claims                           250   247 k 
11-Jan 0830 *** Dec    Final Demand PPI                         0.4   0.2   %
11-Jan 0830 *** Dec    PPI ex. food and energy                  0.3   0.2   %
11-Jan 0830 *** Dec    PPI ex. food, energy, trade              0.4    --   %
11-Jan 0945 *   07-Jan Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
11-Jan 1030 **  05-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                  -206    --   Bcf
11-Jan 1400 **  Dec    Treasury budget balance                -138.5-54.0 b USD
11-Jan 1630 **  10-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
12-Jan 0830 *** Dec    CPI                                      0.4   0.1   %
12-Jan 0830 *** Dec    CPI Ex Food and Energy                   0.1   0.2   %
12-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales                             0.8   0.5   %
12-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales ex. motor vehicle           1.0   0.4   %
12-Jan 0830 *** Dec    retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas            0.8    --   %
12-Jan 1000 *   Nov    business inventories                    -0.1   0.3   %
12-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
12-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                       4.0    --   %
 
16-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Empire Manufacturing Index              18.0    --
 
17-Jan 0700 **  12-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
17-Jan 0830 **  Jan    NY Fed Business Leaders Index           16.7    --
17-Jan 0855 **  13-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
17-Jan 0915 *** Dec    industrial production                    0.2    --   %
17-Jan 0915 *** Dec    capacity utilization                    77.1    --   %
17-Jan 1000 **  Jan    NAHB home builder index                   74    --
17-Jan 1600 **  Nov    net TICS flows                            --    -- b USD
17-Jan 1600 **  Nov    long term TICS flows                      --    -- b USD
 
18-Jan 0830 **  13-Jan jobless claims                            --    -- k 
18-Jan 0830 *** Dec    housing starts                         1.297    -- m 
18-Jan 0830 *** Dec    building permits                       1.303    -- m 
18-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index              26.2    --
18-Jan 0945 *   14-Jan Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
18-Jan 1030 **  12-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
18-Jan 1100 **  12-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
18-Jan 1630 **  17-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
19-Jan 1000 *** Jan    Michigan sentiment index (p)            95.9    --
19-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
19-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
23-Jan 0830 **  Jan    Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index           25.3    --
23-Jan 0855 **  20-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
23-Jan 1000 **  Jan    Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    20    --
23-Jan 1000 *   Dec    BLS state payrolls                     208.9    -- k 
23-Jan 1500 *   Jan    Treasury Allotments (p)                   --    -- b USD
 
24-Jan 0700 **  19-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
24-Jan 0900 **  Nov    FHFA Home Price Index                    0.5    --   %
24-Jan 0945 *** Jan    Markit Services Index (flash)           53.7    --
24-Jan 0945 *** Jan    Markit Mfg Index (flash)                55.1    --
24-Jan 1000 *** Dec    existing home sales                     5.81    -- m 
24-Jan 1030 **  19-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
25-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance goods trade gap                -69.7    -- b USD
25-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance wholesale inventories            0.7    --   %
25-Jan 0830 **  Dec    advance retail inventories               0.1    --   %
25-Jan 0830 **  20-Jan jobless claims                            --    -- k 
25-Jan 0945 *   21-Jan Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
25-Jan 1000 *** Dec    new home sales                         0.733    -- m 
25-Jan 1000 *   Dec    bldg permits revision                     --    -- m 
25-Jan 1000 **  Dec    leading indicators                       0.4    --   %
25-Jan 1030 **  19-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
25-Jan 1100 **  Jan    Kansas City Fed Mfg Index                 14    --
25-Jan 1630 **  24-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
26-Jan 0830 *** Q4     GDP (adv)                                3.2    --   %
26-Jan 0830 *** Q4     GDP Price Index                          2.1    --   %
26-Jan 0830 **  Dec    durable goods new orders                 1.3    --   %
26-Jan 0830 **  Dec    durable new orders ex transport         -0.1    --   %
26-Jan 1100 **  Q1     St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast            --    --   %
26-Jan 1115 **  Q1     NY Fed GDP Nowcast                        --    --   %
 
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    personal income                          0.3    --   %
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    current dollar PCE                       0.6    --   %
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    total PCE price index                    0.2    --   %
29-Jan 0830 **  Dec    core PCE price index                     0.1    --   %
29-Jan 1030 **  Jan    Dallas Fed manufacturing index          29.7    --
 
30-Jan 0855 **  27-Jan Redbook retail sales m/m                  --    --   %
30-Jan 0900 **  Nov    Case-Shiller Home Price Index            0.7    --
30-Jan 1000 **  Q4     housing vacancies rate                   1.6    --   %
30-Jan 1000 *** Jan    Conference Board confidence            122.1    --
30-Jan 1030 **  Jan    Dallas Fed services index               18.1    --
30-Jan 1500 *   Dec    farm prices                              4.2    --   %
 
31-Jan 0700 **  26-Jan MBA Mortgage Applications                 --    --   %
31-Jan 0815 *** Dec    ADP private payrolls                     250    -- k 
31-Jan 0830 **  Q4     ECI                                      0.7    --   %
31-Jan 0900 *   Jan    ISM-Milwaukee Mfg Index                65.57    --
31-Jan 0945 **  Jan    MNI Chicago PMI                         67.6    --
31-Jan 1000 **  Dec    NAR pending home sales index           109.5    --
31-Jan 1000 *   Jan    help-wanted online ratio                1.28    --
31-Jan 1030 **  26-Jan crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w              --    -- m bbl
 
01-Feb  -   *** Jan    NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR        13.6    -- m 
01-Feb 0730 *   Jan    challenger layoff plans                 -3.6    --   %
01-Feb 0830 **  27-Jan jobless claims                            --    -- k 
01-Feb 0830 **  Q4     non-farm productivity (p)                3.0    --   %
01-Feb 0830 **  Q4     unit labor costs (p)                    -0.2    --   %
01-Feb 0945 *** Jan    Markit Mfg Index (final)                  --    --
01-Feb 0945 *   28-Jan Bloomberg comfort index                   --    --
01-Feb 1000 *** Jan    ISM Manufacturing Index                 59.7    --
01-Feb 1000 *   Dec    construction spending                    0.8    --   %
01-Feb 1030 **  26-Jan natural gas stocks w/w                    --    --   Bcf
01-Feb 1630 **  31-Jan Fed weekly securities holdings            --    -- t USD
 
02-Feb 0830 *** Jan    nonfarm payrolls                         148    -- k 
02-Feb 0830 *** Jan    private payrolls                         146    -- k 
02-Feb 0830 *** Jan    unemployment rate                        4.1    --   %
02-Feb 0830 *** Jan    average hourly earnings                  0.3    --   %
02-Feb 0830 *** Jan    average workweek, all workers           34.5    --   hrs
02-Feb 0945 *   Jan    ISM-NY current conditions               56.3    --
02-Feb 1000 *** Feb    Michigan sentiment index (f)              --    --
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]