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US Inv Banks Report Tomorrow; Euro Peers Seeing Profit Taking In Equity, Credit Tightening

FINANCIALS SECTOR

Unsual cross-asset day in the capital markets banks in Europe (aka inv banks) with equity falling and spreads tightening in some cases.


  1. US IBs report tmrw and Monday (Citi, BoA and JPM all tmrw) and equity in these companies often moves positively into results. Current expectations are for (in order of importance) FICC revenues to drop, equities to rise and primary lines to be a mixed bag... and those businesses are then all about the outlooks and pipelines.
  2. In Europe, Barclays (BARC LN), Deutsche (DBK GY) and SocGen (GLE FP) are some of the weakest performers in financials equity world... along with Lloyds Bank (LLOY LN) which is a very different animal (retail bank & insurance co).
  3. At same time, CDSs for these three capital markets banks have all tightened today (see image), along with OASs on many lines of their traded debt. Deutsche, particularly, has seen its equity outperform the banks index (SX7P Index) in the last quarter so elements of profit taking after a good run in here.
Banks can show high equity volatility through results season, especially around the results dates of the US majors in IB world.


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