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US NFIB Survey: August Optimism Index +0.1 to 105.3 - Text

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are excerpts from the National Federation
of Independent Business' monthly Small Business Optimism index published
Tuesday:
     The percentage of small business owners planning to make capital
expenditures in the next three to six months reached its highest level since
2006, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Index
of Small Business Optimism, released today.
     "This is a sign of economic health that we've been expecting based on the
soaring optimism that began last year," said NFIB President and CEO Juanita
Duggan. "Higher optimism resulted first in higher employment activity, and now
we're seeing more small business owners making capital investments."
     The NFIB Index rose 0.1 points to 105.3. Five of the components increased,
while five declined. The lofty reading keeps intact a string of historically
high performances extending back to last November.
     "Consumer demand is very strong, and the regulatory relief has been
dramatic," said Duggan. "Small business owners still expect progress on tax
reform and healthcare, and they will be watching closely."
     According to NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg, the August figures for
capital outlays are typical of a growing economy.
     "Small firms are now making long-term investments in new machines,
equipment, facilities, and technology," he said. "That's a real sign of
strength, and it will be interesting to see if the August result becomes a
trend."
     Plans to make capital outlays were most common among professional services
firms (46 percent), followed by manufacturing (38 percent), wholesale trades (36
percent), agriculture (33 percent), and construction (33 percent).
     A net 27 percent of small business owners expected better sales in August,
a five-point gain over the previous month. That matches the number of owners who
said it's a good time to expand, a four-point jump from July.
     Job creation plans dipped by one point but remain historically high. Job
openings slid four points, a sign that more business owners are slowly filling
positions in the midst of a serious shortage of skilled labor.
     "Consumer demand is driving optimism, and optimism is driving business
activity," said Duggan. "Substantial regulatory relief is also a big factor
because it creates a much more hospitable business climate."
     Optimism Components:        Seas Adj Level %        Change
     JOB CREATION PLANS                18 (NET)          -1
     CAPITAL EXPENDITURE PLANS         32                 4
     INVENTORY PLANS                    2 (NET)          -3
     JOB OPENINGS                      31                -4
     INVENTORY SATISFACTION            -5 (NET)          -3
     GOOD TIME TO EXPAND               27                 4
     EXPECT BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS 37 (NET)           0
     SALES EXPECTATIONS                27 (NET)           5
     EXPECT EASIER CREDIT CONDITIONS   -3 (NET)           1
     ACTUAL EARNINGS TRENDS           -11 (NET)          -1
     INDEX OF SMALL BUSINESS OPTIMISM 105.3            -0.1
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$]

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