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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
MNI: Canada Apr-Sept Budget Deficit Widens On Spending
US rates had a hard time deciding......>
US TSY FLOWS: US rates had a hard time deciding which way they wanted to trade
after the second consecutive blow-out employ release. Jan payrolls very strong
+304k vs. +167k expected, but sharp downward rev to Dec (+222k vs +312k prev).
Equities choppy all session, uncertain whether good data brings Fed back in
play, or will Fed let economy run hot before tapping policy brake.
- Program selling evident after the number, but bids took up the shock driving
futures back in line, decent two-way ensued. Sellers resumed after StL Fed
Bullard comments re: data dependency, strength of economy. Wasn't until flurry
of mid-morning data (ISM PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX 56.6 JAN VS 54.3 DEC; U-Mich;
Construction spending) that rate sellers really found their motivation.
- Curves bear flattened for the most part, heavy selling in 5s and 10s, 5s30s
steepener unwinds, fast- and real$ selling intermediates, bank portfolio selling
30s. Little deal-tied hedging, but mkts will absorb 3s, 10s and 30Y bond supply
next week. Heavy option volume, interest in buying upside calls to hedge global
slow-down, potential for rate cuts remains strong. Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 99-31
(2.514%), 5Y 99-29.75 (2.513%), 10Y 103-22 (2.691%), 30Y 106-22.5 (3.031%).
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.