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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                            Sep-17    Aug-17   Jul-17   Jun-17   May-17   Apr-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                       298/250   244/241  250/244  245/242  238/243  235/250
wk 2                       281/263   232/241  248/246  238/243  236/244  234/247
wk 3                       260/269   235/238  234/244  242/245  233/241  243/243
wk 4                       272/278   236/237  245/244  244/242  235/236  257/242
wk 5                       260/268            241/242           255/240
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +156k    +189k    +210k    +145k    +207k
Private Payrolls                       +165k    +202k    +207k    +153k    +194k
Mfg Payroll                             +36k     +26k     +21k     Flat      +9k
Unemployment                            4.4%     4.3%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.9     40.8     40.7     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                       -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.8%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.2%    +0.5%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.6%
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.7%
CPI                                     +0.4     +0.1     Flat    -0.1%    +0.2%
excl food & energy                      +0.2     +0.1    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                           +0.6     -0.1    -0.2%    -0.1%    +0.2%
non-petro import prices                 +0.3     -0.1    +0.1%     Flat    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 62.0     62.0     55.0     60.5     68.5
Core PCE Price Index                   +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -$107.7   -$42.9   -$90.2   -$88.4  +$182.4
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$18.5   +$11.8   +$18.3   +$12.3
CB Consumer Confidence       119.8     120.4    120.0    117.3    117.6    119.4
Consumer Sentiment            95.1      96.8     93.4     95.1     97.1     97.0
Car Sales, saar (mn)           4.6       4.0      4.2      4.0      4.2      4.3
Truck Sales, saar (mn)         9.6       8.3      8.7      8.8      8.5      8.6
Total, saar (mn)              14.2      12.3     12.9     12.8     12.7     12.9
Retail Sales                           -0.2%    +0.3%    -0.1%     Flat    +0.3%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.2%    +0.4%    -0.2%    -0.2%    +0.3%
Personal Income                        +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
Personal Spending                      +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index                 60.8      58.8     56.3     57.8     54.9     54.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                59.8      55.3     53.9     57.4     56.9     57.5
MNI Chicago Report            65.2      58.9     58.9     65.7     59.4     58.3
Phila Fed Mfg Index           23.8      18.9     19.5     27.6     38.8     22.0
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index        33.2      31.8     23.4     33.6     25.6     30.1
Empire State Index            24.4      25.2      9.8     19.8     -1.0      5.2
Markit Mfg Index              53.1      52.8     53.3     52.0     52.7     52.8
Markit Services Index         55.3      56.0     54.6     54.2     53.6     53.1
Ind Production                         -0.9%    +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.9%
Capacity Util                          76.1%    76.9%    76.7%    76.6%    76.5%
Factory Orders                         +1.2%    -3.3%    +3.2%    -0.3%    -0.3%
Factory Orders ex
transport                              +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%     Flat
Durables                               +2.0%    -6.8%    +6.4%     Flat    -0.8%
Durables ex transport                  +0.5%     +0.8     Flat    +0.8%    -0.4%
Nondurables                            +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    -0.6%    +0.2%
Mfg Shipments                          +0.5%    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat
Business Inventories                            +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Factory                                +0.4%    +0.2%     +0.3    -0.2%     Flat
Retail                              +0.7%(a)    -0.1%    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%
Wholesale                           +1.0%(a)     +0.6    +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.5%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.180    1.190    1.217    1.129    1.154
Building Permits (mn)                  1.272    1.230    1.275    1.168    1.228
NAHB Index                      64        67       64       66       69       68
New Home Sales (k)                       560      580      614      606      577
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.35     5.44     5.51     5.62     5.56
Pending Home Sales Index               106.3    109.1    110.0    108.6    109.4
Construct Spending                     +0.5%    -1.2%    -0.8%    +1.6%    -1.8%
Private Residential                    +0.4%    +0.2%    +1.2%    +0.7%    -0.4%
Trade Balance (bn)                    -$42.4   -$43.6   -$43.5   -$46.4   -$47.6
Exports (bn)                          $195.3   $194.5   $194.9   $192.3   $191.2
Imports (bn)                          $237.7   $238.1   $238.5   $238.7   $238.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                  -$64.4   -$65.3   -$65.4   -$66.3   -$68.4
Leading Index                           +0.4    +0.3%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.2%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                           +3.1%             +1.2%
Final Sales                                              +2.9%             +2.7%
Chain prices                                             +1.0%             +2.0%
Current-dollar                                           +4.1%             +3.3%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
Nonfarm Productivity                                     +1.5%             +0.1%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                 +0.2%             +4.8%
                                                         Q2-17             Q1-17
ECI (q/q)                                                +0.5%             +0.8%
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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