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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
Market News Topics
February 13, 2018 18:17 GMT
US: Recap of Economic Indicators
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Feb 13/15:06 EST Feb 13
Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17 Sep-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 221/225 261/251 236/242 239/231 244/258 298/250
wk 2 216/244 225/235 252/239 223/249 281/263
wk 3 231/240 245/236 240/240 234/240 260/269
wk 4 230/235 247/238 238/242 229/233 269/277
wk 5 250/242 258/267
Nonfarm Payrolls +200k +160k +216k +271k +14k
Private Payrolls +196k +166k +217k +277k +16k
Mfg Payroll +15k +21k +30k +20k +6k
Unemployment 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.3 34.5 34.5 34.4 34.3
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.6 40.8 40.9 40.9 40.8
Aggr Hours Index -0.5% +0.2% +0.5% +0.5% -0.3%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg -0.3% -0.1% +0.2% +0.4% +0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.3% +0.4% +0.3% -0.2% +0.4%
Final Demand PPI Flat +0.4% +0.5% +0.3%
excl food & energy -0.1% +0.2% +0.5% +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade +0.1% +0.3% +0.3% +0.2%
CPI +0.2% +0.3% +0.1% +0.5%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.1%
Import Prices +0.1% +0.8% +0.2% +0.8%
non-petro import prices -0.2% +0.2% Flat +0.4%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 72.7 69.0 65.5 68.5 71.5
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.4%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.7% +1.8% +1.6% +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.5% +1.5% +1.4% +1.4%
Treasury Budget (bn) +$49.2 -$23.2 -$138.5 -$63.2 +$7.9
Consumer Credit (bn) +$18.5 +$31.0 +$23.0 +$9.2
CB Consumer Confidence 125.4 123.1 128.6 126.2 120.6
Consumer Sentiment 95.7 95.9 98.5 100.7 95.1
Car Sales, saar (mn) 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.6
Truck Sales, saar (mn) 9.0 9.5 9.0 9.4 9.6
Total, saar (mn) 12.8 13.6 13.3 13.8 14.2
Retail Sales +0.4% +0.9% +0.7% +2.0%
excl motor vehicles +0.4% +1.3% +0.5% +1.3%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.3% +0.4% +0.5%
Personal Spending +0.4% +0.8% +0.3% +1.0%
ISM Mfg Index 59.1 59.3 58.2 58.5 60.2
ISM Nonmfg NMI 59.9 56.0 57.3 59.8 59.4
MNI Chicago Report 65.7 67.8 65.6 65.4 64.3
Phila Fed Mfg Index 22.2 27.9 24.3 28.8 25.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 19.5 29.4 25.6 33.4 33.7
Empire State Index 17.7 19.6 20.9 28.1 23.8
KC Fed Mfg Index 16 13 15 22 18
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 14 20 30 12 19
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 33.4 29.7 19.4 27.6 21.3
Markit Mfg Index 55.5 55.1 53.9 54.6 53.1
Markit Services Index 53.3 53.7 54.5 55.3 55.3
Ind Production +0.9% -0.1% +1.8% +0.2%
Capacity Util 77.9% 77.2% 77.4% 76.1%
Factory Orders +1.7% +1.7% +0.4% +1.7%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.7% +1.1% +1.2% +1.1%
Durables +2.8% +1.7% -0.4% +2.4%
Durables ex transport +0.7% +0.4% +1.4% +1.3%
Nondurables +0.7% +1.6% +1.1% +1.0%
Mfg Shipments +0.6% +1.4% +0.8% +1.1%
Business Inventories +0.4% Flat Flat
Factory +0.5% +0.5% +0.3% +0.6%
Retail +0.2%(a) +0.1% Flat -0.9%
Wholesale +0.4% +0.6% -0.4% +0.1%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.192 1.299 1.261 1.159
Building Permits (mn) 1.300 1.303 1.316 1.225
NAHB Index 72 74 69 68 64
New Home Sales (k) 625 689 599 639
Existing Homes (mn) 5.57 5.78 5.50 5.37
Pending Home Sales Index 110.1 109.6 109.3 105.6
Construct Spending +0.7% +0.6% +0.1% +1.3%
Private Residential +0.5% +1.1% -1.0% +1.4%
Trade Balance (bn) -$53.1 -$50.4 -$48.9 -$44.8
Exports (bn) $203.4 $199.8 $195.3 $195.9
Imports (bn) $256.5 $250.2 $244.1 $240.3
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$73.3 -$70.8 -$69.2 -$65.2
Leading Index +0.6% +0.5% +1.3% Flat
Q4-17 Q3-17
GDP (chain-wt) +2.6% +3.2%
Final Sales +3.2% +2.4%
Chain prices +2.4% +2.1%
Current-dollar +5.0% +5.3%
Q4-17 Q3-17
Nonfarm Productivity -0.1% +2.7%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.0% -0.1%
Q4-17 Q3-17
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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