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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                           Jun-18   May-18    Apr-18    Mar-18   Feb-18   Jan-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                      222/226  211/216   233/230   230/225  223/228  247/245
wk 2                               223/214   233/232   226/223  234/230  226/241
wk 3                               234/220   209/229   227/225  218/227  229/238
wk 4                               223/223   211/222   218/225  217/223  234/234
wk 5                                                   242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls                     +223k     +159k     +155k    +324k    +176k
Private Payrolls                     +218k     +162k     +153k    +321k    +188k
Mfg Payroll                           +18k      +25k      +21k     +32k     +20k
Unemployment                          3.8%      3.9%      4.1%     4.1%     4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours                        34.5      34.5      34.5     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                       40.8      41.0      40.9     41.0     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                     +0.2%     +0.1%     +0.2%    +0.6%    -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                 -0.3%     +0.4%     -0.1%    +1.0%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                  +0.3%     +0.1%     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                               +0.1%     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.4%
excl food & energy                             +0.2%     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.4%
excl food, energy, trade                       +0.1%     +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%
CPI                                            +0.2%     -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%
excl food & energy                             +0.1%     +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Import Prices                                  +0.3%     -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.8%
non-petro import prices                        +0.1%      Flat    +0.4%    +0.6%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index               79.5      79.3      78.1     74.2     72.7
PCE Price Index M/M                            +0.2%      Flat    +0.1%    +0.4%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                            +2.0%     +2.0%    +1.7%    +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                       +0.2%     +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                       +1.8%     +1.8%    +1.5%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                         +$214.2   -$208.7  -$215.2   +$49.2
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$9.3    +$12.3   +$13.8   +$14.5
CB Consumer Confidence               128.0     125.6     127.0    130.0    124.3
Consumer Sentiment                    98.0      98.8     101.4     99.7     95.7
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn)                                   3.0       3.1       3.2      3.3      3.2
Truck Sales (Ex GM),
Saar (mn)                              6.9       6.9       7.0      6.7      6.6
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn)               9.9      10.0      10.2     10.0      9.9
Retail Sales                                   +0.2%     +0.7%    +0.1%    -0.1%
excl motor vehicles                            +0.3%     +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.1%
Personal Income                                +0.3%     +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                              +0.6%     +0.5%     Flat    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index                         58.7      57.3      59.3     60.8     59.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI                        58.6      56.8      58.8     59.5     59.9
MNI Chicago Report                    62.7      57.6      57.4     61.9     65.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index                   34.4      23.2      22.3     25.8     22.2
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                45.3      27.6      30.1     31.0     19.5
Empire State Index                    20.1      15.8      22.5     13.1     17.7
KC Fed Mfg Index                        29        26        17       17       16
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                  16        -3        15       28       14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                  26.8      21.8      22.8     38.4     34.3
Markit Mfg Index                      56.4      56.5      55.6     55.3     55.5
Markit Services Index                 56.8      54.6      54.0     55.9     53.3
Ind Production                                 +0.7%     +0.7%    +0.4%    -0.4%
Capacity Util                                  78.0%     77.6%    77.1%    76.9%
Factory Orders                                 -0.8%     +1.7%    +2.0%    -1.6%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                      +0.4%     +0.5%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Durables                                       -1.6%     +2.7%    +4.5%    -4.2%
Durables ex transport                          +0.9%     +0.5%    +1.3%    -0.9%
Nondurables                                    +0.1%     +0.6%    -0.3%    +1.0%
Mfg Shipments                                   Flat     +0.7%    +0.3%    +0.7%
Business Inventories                                      Flat    +0.6%    +0.6%
Factory                                        +0.3%     +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Retail                                      +0.6%(a)  -0.7%(a)      +.6       .6
Wholesale                                      +0.1%     +0.2%    +0.8%    +0.8%
Housing Starts (mn)                            1.287     1.336     1.29    1.334
Building Permits (mn)                          1.364     1.377    1.323    1.366
NAHB Index                              70        68        70       71       72
New Home Sales (k)                               662       672      659      633
Existing Homes (mn)                             5.46      5.60     5.54     5.38
Pending Home Sales Index                       106.4     107.6    107.2    104.3
Construct Spending                             +1.8%     -1.7%    +1.2%    +1.7%
Private Residential                            +4.5%     -4.1%    +1.0%    +3.2%
Trade Balance (bn)                            -$46.2    -$47.2   -$55.5   -$56.7
Exports (bn)                                 +$211.2   +$210.7  +$206.1   $200.9
Imports (bn)                                 +$257.4   +$257.9  +$261.6   $257.6
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                          -$68.3    -$69.3   -$76.7   -$76.7
Leading Index                                  +0.4%     +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.7%
                                               Q1-18     Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                 +2.2%     +2.9%    +3.2%    +3.1%
Final Sales                                    +2.0%     +3.4%    +2.4%    +2.9%
Chain prices                                   +1.9%     +2.3%    +2.1%    +1.0%
Current-dollar                                 +4.2%     +5.3%    +5.3%    +4.1%
                                               Q1-18     Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity                           +0.4%     +0.3%    +2.6%    +1.7%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                       +2.9%     +2.1%    +1.0%    -1.2%
                                               Q1-18     Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
ECI (q/q)                                      +0.8%     +0.6%    +0.7%    +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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