Free Trial

US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                           Jun-18     May-18   Apr-18   Mar-18   Feb-18   Jan-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                      222/226    211/216  233/230  230/225  223/228  247/245
wk 2                      218/224    223/214  233/232  226/223  234/230  226/241
wk 3                                 234/220  209/229  227/225  218/227  229/238
wk 4                                 223/223  211/222  218/225  217/223  234/234
wk 5                                                   242/228
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +223k    +159k    +155k    +324k    +176k
Private Payrolls                       +218k    +162k    +153k    +321k    +188k
Mfg Payroll                             +18k     +25k     +21k     +32k     +20k
Unemployment                            3.8%     3.9%     4.1%     4.1%     4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.5     34.5     34.5     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.8     41.0     40.9     41.0     40.7
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%    -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.3%    +0.4%    -0.1%    +1.0%    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.5%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.4%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.4%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%
CPI                                    +0.2%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.5%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Import Prices                          +0.6%    +0.6%    -0.2%    +0.2%    +0.8%
non-petro import prices                +0.1%    +0.1%     Flat    +0.4%    +0.6%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 79.5     79.3     78.1     74.2     72.7
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.2%     Flat    +0.1%    +0.4%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +2.0%    +2.0%    +1.7%    +1.7%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.8%    +1.8%    +1.5%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                 -$146.8  +$214.3  -$208.7  -$215.2   +$49.2
Consumer Credit (bn)                            +$9.3   +$12.3   +$13.8   +$14.5
CB Consumer Confidence                 128.0    125.6    127.0    130.0    124.3
Consumer Sentiment        99.3(a)       98.0     98.8    101.4     99.7     95.7
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn)                                     3.0      3.1      3.2      3.3      3.2
Truck Sales (Ex GM),
Saar (mn)                                6.9      6.9      7.0      6.7      6.6
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn)                 9.9     10.0     10.2     10.0      9.9
Retail Sales                           +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.1%    -0.1%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.9%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.1%
Personal Income                                 +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.4%
Personal Spending                               +0.6%    +0.5%     Flat    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index                           58.7     57.3     59.3     60.8     59.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          58.6     56.8     58.8     59.5     59.9
MNI Chicago Report                      62.7     57.6     57.4     61.9     65.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index                     34.4     23.2     22.3     25.8     22.2
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                  45.3     27.6     30.1     31.0     19.5
Empire State Index           25.0       20.1     15.8     22.5     13.1     17.7
KC Fed Mfg Index                          29       26       17       17       16
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    16       -3       15       28       14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                    26.8     21.8     22.8     38.4     34.3
Markit Mfg Index                        56.4     56.5     55.6     55.3     55.5
Markit Services Index                   56.8     54.6     54.0     55.9     53.3
Ind Production                         -0.1%    +0.9%    +0.5%    +0.4%    -0.4%
Capacity Util                          77.9%    78.1%    77.5%    77.2%    76.9%
Factory Orders                                  -0.8%    +1.7%    +2.0%    -1.6%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.4%    +0.5%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Durables                                        -1.6%    +2.7%    +4.5%    -4.2%
Durables ex transport                           +0.9%    +0.5%    +1.3%    -0.9%
Nondurables                                     +0.1%    +0.6%    -0.3%    +1.0%
Mfg Shipments                                    Flat    +0.7%    +0.3%    +0.7%
Business Inventories                            +0.3%    -0.1%    +0.6%    +0.6%
Factory                                         +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%    +0.3%
Retail                                          +0.5%    -0.7%      +.6       .6
Wholesale                                       +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.8%    +0.8%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.350    1.286    1.327     1.29    1.334
Building Permits (mn)              1.301 (a)    1.364    1.377    1.323    1.366
NAHB Index                     68         70       68       70       71       72
New Home Sales (k)                                662      672      659      633
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.46     5.60     5.54     5.38
Pending Home Sales Index                        106.4    107.6    107.2    104.3
Construct Spending                              +1.8%    -1.7%    +1.2%    +1.7%
Private Residential                             +4.5%    -4.1%    +1.0%    +3.2%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$46.2   -$47.2   -$55.5   -$56.7
Exports (bn)                                  +$211.2  +$210.7  +$206.1   $200.9
Imports (bn)                                  +$257.4  +$257.9  +$261.6   $257.6
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$68.3   -$69.3   -$76.7   -$76.7
Leading Index                                   +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.7%    +0.7%
                                                Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +2.2%    +2.9%    +3.2%    +3.1%
Final Sales                                     +2.0%    +3.4%    +2.4%    +2.9%
Chain prices                                    +1.9%    +2.3%    +2.1%    +1.0%
Current-dollar                                  +4.2%    +5.3%    +5.3%    +4.1%
                                                Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity                            +0.4%    +0.3%    +2.6%    +1.7%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                        +2.9%    +2.1%    +1.0%    -1.2%
                                                Q1-18    Q4-17    Q3-17    Q2-17
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.8%    +0.6%    +0.7%    +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.