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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: - G10 MarketsG10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI Podcasts - Emerging MarketsEmerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
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Real-time insight of oil & gas markets
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Real time insight of credit markets
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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Dec-18 Nov-18 Oct-18 Sep-18 Aug-18 Jul-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 206/225 221/217 215/210 204/208 214/214 215/223
wk 2 217/223 224/219 210/212 202/206 212/216 208/221
wk 3 221/220 234/223 216/212 215/206 210/214 217/218
wk 4 231/219 231/228 215/214 207/207 213/212 219/214
wk 5 214/214 205/210
Nonfarm Payrolls +312k +176k +274k +119k +286k +165k
Private Payrolls +301k +173k +281k +117k +267k +137k
Mfg Payroll +32k +27k +29k +19k +11k +22k
Unemployment 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.4 34.5 34.4 34.5 34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg 40.9 40.8 40.8 40.8 40.9 41.0
Aggr Hours Index +0.5% -0.2% +0.5% -0.3% +0.3% -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.5% +0.2% +0.2% -0.1% -0.2% +0.2%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.4% +0.2% +0.2% +0.3% +0.4% +0.3%
Final Demand PPI +0.1% +0.6% +0.2% -0.1% Flat
excl food & energy +0.3% +0.5% +0.2% -0.1% +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade +0.3% +0.2% +0.4% +0.1% +0.3%
CPI Flat +0.3% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.2%
Import Prices -1.6% +0.5% Flat -0.4% -0.1%
non-petro import prices -0.3% +0.2% +0.1% -0.2% -0.2%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 60.7 71.6 66.9 72.1 73.2
PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.2% +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.8% +2.0% +2.0% +2.2% +2.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.1% +0.1% +0.2% Flat +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.9% +1.8% +2.0% +1.9% +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$204.9 -$100.5 +$119.1 -$214.1 -$76.9
Consumer Credit (bn) +$22.1 +$25.0 +$10.9 +$20.1 +$16.6
CB Consumer Confidence 128.1 136.4 137.9 135.3 134.7 127.9
Consumer Sentiment 98.3 97.5 98.6 100.1 96.2 97.6
Car Sales (Ex GM), saar
(mn) 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.8 3.0
Truck Sales (Ex GM), Saar
(mn) 6.9 6.9 6.9 7.2 7.1 6.9
Total (Ex GM), saar (mn) 9.9 9.8 10.1 10.2 9.9 9.9
Retail Sales +0.2% +1.1% -0.2% -0.1% +0.6%
excl motor vehicles +0.2% +1.0% -0.3% +0.1% +0.8%
Personal Income +0.2% +0.5% +0.2 +0.4% +0.3%
Personal Spending +0.3% +0.6% Flat +0.3% +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index 54.1 59.3 57.7 59.8 61.3 58.1
ISM Nonmfg NMI 57.6 60.7 60.3 61.6 58.5 55.7
MNI Chicago Report 65.4 66.4 58.4 60.4 63.6 65.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index 9.4 12.9 22.2 22.9 11.9 25.7
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 3.9 43.3 37.6 37.4 41.7 44.3
Empire State Index 10.9 23.3 21.1 19.0 25.6 22.6
KC Fed Mfg Index 3 15 8 13 14 23
Richmond Fed Mfg Index -8 14 15 29 24 20
Dallas Fed Mfg Index -5.1 17.6 29.4 28.1 30.9 32.3
Markit Mfg Index 53.8 55.4 55.7 55.6 54.7 55.3
Markit Services Index 54.4 54.7 54.8 53.5 54.8 56.0
Ind Production +0.6% -0.2% +0.1% +0.8% +0.4%
Capacity Util 78.5% 78.1% 78.4% 78.5% 78.0%
Factory Orders -2.1% +0.2% +2.6% -0.5%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.3% +0.1% +0.4% +0.1%
Durables +0.8% -4.3% Flat +4.7% -1.2%
Durables ex transport -0.3% +0.4% -0.5% +0.3% +0.2%
Nondurables +0.3% +0.5% +0.6% +0.1%
Mfg Shipments -0.1% +0.7% +0.7% Flat
Business Inventories +0.6% +0.5% +0.5% +0.7%
Factory +0.1% +0.6% +0.1% +0.8%
Retail +0.8% +0.1% +0.6% +0.6%
Wholesale +0.8% +0.7% +0.9% +0.6%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.256 1.217 1.237 1.280 1.184
Building Permits (mn) 1.328 1.265 1.270 1.249 1.303
NAHB Index 56 60 60 68 67 68
New Home Sales (k) 544 597 591 603
Existing Homes (mn) 5.32 5.22 5.15 5.33 5.34
Pending Home Sales Index 101.4 102.1 104.8 104.1 106.1
Construct Spending -0.1% -0.1% -0.4% +0.2%
Private Residential -0.5% +0.1% -2.6% +0.7%
Trade Balance (bn) -$55.5 -$54.6 -$53.7 -$50.0
Exports (bn) +$211.0 +$211.4 +$208.2 +$211.1
Imports (bn) +$266.5 +$266.0 +$261.9 +$261.2
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$78.1 -$77.3 -$76.6 -$73.2
Leading Index +0.2% -0.3% +0.5% +0.4% +0.7%
Q3-18
GDP (chain-wt) +3.5%
Final Sales +1.2%
Chain prices +1.7%
Current-dollar +5.0%
Q3-18
Nonfarm Productivity +2.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +0.9%
Q3-18
ECI (q/q) +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.