Free Trial

US: Recap of Economic Indicators

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 22:06 GMT Feb 15/17:06 EST Feb 15
                             Feb-19   Jan-19   Dec-18   Nov-18   Oct-18   Sep-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        235/225  216/222  206/225  221/217  215/210  204/208
wk 2                        239/232  212/221  217/223  224/219  210/212  202/206
wk 3                                 200/215  221/220  234/223  216/212  215/206
wk 4                                 253/220  233/219  231/228  215/214  207/207
wk 5                                                            214/214
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +304k    +222k    +196k    +277k    +108k
Private Payrolls                       +296k    +206k    +200k    +285k    +108k
Mfg Payroll                             +13k     +20k     +27k     +29k     +18k
Unemployment                            4.0%     3.9%     3.7%     3.8%     3.7%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.5     34.5     34.5     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.8     40.8     40.8     40.8     40.9
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.3%    +0.5%    -0.2%    +0.3%     Flat
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   -0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%     Flat    -0.1%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                       -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%    +0.5%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%    +0.3%    +0.2%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%
CPI                                     Flat     Flat     Flat    +0.3%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                          -0.5%    -1.0%    -1.7%    +0.5%    +0.1%
non-petro import prices                -0.7%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.2%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 49.6     54.9     60.7     71.6     66.9
PCE Price Index M/M                                      +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%
PCE Price Index Y/Y                                      +1.8%    +2.0%    +2.0%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                                 +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                                 +1.9%    +1.8%    +2.0%
Treasury Budget (bn)                           -$13.5  -$204.9  -$100.5  +$119.1
Consumer Credit (bn)                                    +$22.1   +$25.4   +$10.9
CB Consumer Confidence                 120.2    126.6    136.4    137.9    135.3
Consumer Sentiment                      91.2     98.3     97.5     98.6    100.1
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     2.5      2.6      2.5      2.7      2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                4.6      5.0      4.9      4.9      5.3
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                     7.1      7.5      7.4      7.6      7.8
Retail Sales                                    -1.2%    +0.1%    +1.0%    -0.2%
excl motor vehicles                             -1.8%     Flat    +0.8%    -0.3%
Personal Income                                          +0.2%    +0.5%     +0.2
Personal Spending                                        +0.3%    +0.6%     Flat
ISM Mfg Index                           56.6     54.3     58.8     57.5     59.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          56.7     58.0     60.4     60.0     60.8
MNI Chicago Report                      56.7     63.8     63.5     59.4     61.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index                     17.0      9.1     11.9     19.7     21.4
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                   1.0      7.7     35.5     34.7     35.8
Empire State Index                       3.9     11.5     21.4     20.0     18.8
KC Fed Mfg Index                           5        6       17       10       13
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    -2       -8       14       15       29
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                     1.0     -5.1     17.6     29.4     28.1
Markit Mfg Index                        54.9     53.8     55.4     55.7     55.6
Markit Services Index                   54.2     54.4     54.7     54.8     53.5
Ind Production                         -0.6%    +0.1%    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.1%
Capacity Util                          78.2%    78.8%    78.9%    78.4%    78.4%
Factory Orders                                           -0.6%    -2.1%    +0.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                                -1.3%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Durables                                                 +0.8%    -4.3%     Flat
Durables ex transport                                    -0.3%    +0.4%    -0.5%
Nondurables                                              -1.9%    +0.1%    +0.5%
Mfg Shipments                                                     -0.1%    +0.7%
Business Inventories                                     -0.1%    +0.6%    +0.5%
Factory                                                  -0.1%    +0.2%    +0.6%
Retail                                                   -0.4%    +0.8%    +0.1%
Wholesale                                                +0.3%    +0.9%    +0.7%
Housing Starts (mn)                                      1.256    1.217    1.237
Building Permits (mn)                                    1.322    1.265    1.270
NAHB Index                                58       56       60       60       68
New Home Sales (k)                                         657      562      597
Existing Homes (mn)                              4.99     5.32     5.22     5.15
Pending Home Sales Index                         99.0    101.2    102.1    104.8
Construct Spending                                       +0.8%    +0.1%    -1.8%
Private Residential                                       3.5%    -1.1%    -2.0%
Trade Balance (bn)                                      -$49.3   -$55.7   -$54.6
Exports (bn)                                           +$209.9  +$211.2  +$211.4
Imports (bn)                                           +$259.2  +$266.9  +$266.0
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                                    -$71.6   -$78.3   -$77.3
Leading Index                                   -0.1%    +0.2%    -0.3%    +0.5%
                                                                           Q3-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                                             +3.5%
Final Sales                                                                +1.2%
Chain prices                                                               +1.7%
Current-dollar                                                             +5.0%
                                                                           Q3-18
Nonfarm Productivity                                                       +2.3%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                                   +0.9%
                                                Q4-18                      Q3-18
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.7%                      +0.8%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
}); window.REBELMOUSE_ACTIVE_TASKS_QUEUE.push(function(){ window.dataLayer.push({ 'event' : 'logedout', 'loggedOut' : 'loggedOut' }); });