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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Apr-19   Mar-19   Feb-19   Jan-19   Dec-18   Nov-18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        196/207  224/220  230/225  221/224  213/225  223/219
wk 2                                 216/220  231/229  217/223  220/224  224/221
wk 3                                 212/217  213/229  211/220  223/221  234/224
wk 4                                 204/214  224/225  244/223  231/222  229/227
wk 5                                          218/221
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +196k     +33k    +312k    +227k    +196k
Private Payrolls                       +182k     +28k    +297k    +224k    +200k
Mfg Payroll                              -6k      +1k     +17k     +20k     +27k
Unemployment                            3.8%     3.8%     4.0%     3.9%     3.7%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.5     34.4     34.5     34.5     34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg                         40.7     40.7     40.8     40.9     40.8
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.5%    -0.3%    +0.3%    +0.5%    -0.2%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                    Flat    -0.2%    -0.1%    +0.3%    +0.2%
Avg Hourly Earnings                    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.6%    +0.1%    -0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.3%    +0.1%    +0.3%     Flat    +0.3%
excl food, energy, trade                Flat    +0.1%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.3%
CPI                                    +0.4%    +0.2%     Flat     Flat     Flat
excl food & energy                     +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Import Prices                          +0.6%     +0.6    +0.1%    -1.4%    -1.6%
non-petro import prices                +0.2%    +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.2%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 54.3     49.4     49.6     54.9     60.7
PCE Price Index M/M                                      -0.1%    +0.1%     Flat
PCE Price Index Y/Y                                      +1.4%    +1.7%    +1.8%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                                 +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                                 +1.8%    +1.7%    +1.8%
Treasury Budget (bn)                          -$146.9    +$8.7   -$13.5  -$204.9
Consumer Credit (bn)                                    +$17.0   +$15.4   +$22.1
CB Consumer Confidence                          131.4    121.7    126.6    136.4
Consumer Sentiment                               93.8     91.2     98.3     97.5
Car Sales Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                                       2.5      2.6      2.5
Truck Sales Ex GM,Ford,
Saar (mn)                                                  4.6      5.0      4.9
Total Ex GM,Ford, saar
(mn)                                                       7.1      7.5      7.4
Retail Sales                                    -0.2%    +0.7%    -1.6%     Flat
excl motor vehicles                             -0.4%    +1.4%    -2.1%    -0.1%
Personal Income                                 +0.2%    -0.1%    +1.0%    +0.3%
Personal Spending                                        +0.1%    -0.6%    +0.5%
ISM Mfg Index                           55.3     54.2     56.6     54.3     58.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          56.1     59.7     56.7     58.0     60.4
MNI Chicago Report                      58.7     64.7     56.7     63.8     63.5
Phila Fed Mfg Index                     13.7     -4.1     17.0      9.1     11.9
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index                  21.7     10.0      1.0      7.7     35.5
Empire State Index             10.1      3.7      8.8      3.9     11.5     21.4
KC Fed Mfg Index                          10        1        5        6       17
Richmond Fed Mfg Index                    10       16       -2       -8       14
Dallas Fed Mfg Index                     8.3     13.1      1.0     -5.1     17.6
Markit Mfg Index                        52.5     53.0     54.9     53.8     55.4
Markit Services Index                   55.3     56.0     54.2     54.4     54.7
Ind Production                         -0.1%     +0.1    -0.3%     Flat    +0.7%
Capacity Util                          78.8%    79.0%    79.1%    79.5%    79.6%
Factory Orders                                  -0.5%     Flat    +0.1%    -0.5%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.3%    -0.1%    -0.5%    -1.3%
Durables                                        -1.6%    +0.1%    +1.3%    +0.9%
Durables ex transport                           +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.3%    -0.2%
Nondurables                                     +0.6%    -0.1%    -1.1%    -2.0%
Mfg Shipments                                            -0.2%    -0.2%    +1.0%
Business Inventories                                     +0.8%    +0.8%     Flat
Factory                                                  +0.5%    +0.1%    -0.1%
Retail                                                   +0.8%    +1.1%    -0.4%
Wholesale                                                +1.4%    +1.1%    +0.4%
Housing Starts (mn)                             1.162    1.273    1.140    1.206
Building Permits (mn)                           1.291    1.317    1.326    1.322
NAHB Index                       63       62       62       58       56       60
New Home Sales (k)                                667      636      588      628
Existing Homes (mn)                              5.51     4.93     5.00     5.21
Pending Home Sales Index                        101.9    103.2     99.0    101.2
Construct Spending                              +1.0%    +2.5%    +0.2%    -1.3%
Private Residential                             +0.2%    +1.5%    +0.8%    -0.6%
Trade Balance (bn)                                      -$51.1   -$59.9   -$50.5
Exports (bn)                                           +$207.3  +$205.4  +$209.3
Imports (bn)                                           +$258.5  +$265.4  +$259.9
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                                    -$73.3   -$81.5   -$72.6
Leading Index                                                     -0.1%    +0.2%
                                                                  Q4-18
GDP (chain-wt)                                                    +2.2%
Final Sales                                                       +2.1%
Chain prices                                                      +1.7%
Current-dollar                                                    +4.1%
                                                                  Q4-18
Nonfarm Productivity                                              +1.9%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                                          +2.0%
                                                                  Q4-18
ECI (q/q)                                                         +0.7%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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