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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - NFP Followed by Ample Fedspeak
MNI US OPEN - Soft NFP Report Should Cement December Cut
MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, December 6
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR MAR 2
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USJ USM TYJ TYM FVH FVJ EDH EDJ
MON 1500 14.04% 11.08% 7.23% 5.77% 4.82% 3.79% 84.50% 104.35%
1345 13.84% 10.93% 7.05% 5.68% 4.73% 3.75% 80.20% 104.38%
1200 13.88% 10.88% 7.06% 5.66% 4.72% 3.71% 86.00% 108.15%
1045 14.88% 11.53% 7.65% 6.06% 5.13% 3.98% 82.50% 109.40%
0900 14.88% 11.53% 7.65% 6.06% 5.13% 3.98% 84.84% 109.40%
MON OPEN 15.80% 12.21% 8.15% 6.45% 5.55% 4.31% 81.00% 110.67%
FRI 1500 14.55% 11.64% 7.40% 6.20% 5.03% 4.11% 72.55% 101.17%
FRI OPEN 13.77% 11.05% 7.10% 6.05% 4.55% 3.90% 55.80% 80.05%
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 132.00 C 88,165 -910 131.00 P 106,149 +6,124
JUN20 10Y NOTE 134.00 C 55,598 -188 129.00 P 73,286 -129
APR20 5Y NOTE 121.25 C 37,681 -1,135 119.50 P 90,877 +207
JUN20 5Y NOTE 123.50 C 42,491 -401 113.00 P 199,474 +595
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.25 C 6,600 +3,600 107.50 P 23,000 UNCH
JUN20 2Y NOTE 111.00 C 5,524 UNCH 106.50 P 41,091 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 99.00 C 476,208 +24,044 98.00 P 396,944 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 98.88 C 249,607 -13,667 98.25 P 247,765 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.75 C 233,416 -2,131 98.37 P 162,011 UNCH
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 98.25 C 70,733 UNCH 98.25 P 98,983 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 98.12 C 52,969 UNCH 98.25 P 38,842 UNCH
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
APR20 10Y NOTE 135.00 C 34,144 +693 135.00 P 719 +437
APR20 10Y NOTE 135.50 C 27,791 +10,320 135.50 P 96 +83
JUN20 10Y NOTE 135.00 C 23,463 +359 135.00 P 2,229 +1,297
JUN20 10Y NOTE 135.50 C 5,934 +825 135.50 P 35 UNCH
APR20 5Y NOTE 123.00 C 8,086 +13 123.00 P 40 +33
APR20 5Y NOTE 123.25 C 10,024 +8,860 123.25 P 2 +1
JUN20 5Y NOTE 123.00 C 3,675 +620 123.00 P 6 UNCH
JUN20 5Y NOTE 123.25 C 12,061 +60 123.25 P 3 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.38 C 2,067 +1,720 109.38 P 0 UNCH
APR20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 3,517 +2,616 109.50 P 1 +1
JUN20 2Y NOTE 109.38 C 367 +201 109.38 P 0 UNCH
JUN20 2Y NOTE 109.50 C 855 +234 109.50 P 0 UNCH
MAR20 EURODLR 98.62 C 330,205 -75,884 98.62 P 23,480 +16,184
MAR20 EURODLR 98.75 C 303,024 +7,855 98.75 P 17,425 UNCH
APR20 EURODLR 99.00 C 224,273 -13,909 99.00 P 2,791 +2,791
APR20 EURODLR 99.12 C 83,744 +5,103 99.12 P 1 UNCH
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.12 C 91,714 +3,372 99.12 P 14,462 +13,338
MAR21 1Y-MIDC 99.25 C 170,960 -14,432 99.25 P 2,400 +2,400
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.12 C 8,407 UNCH 99.12 P 631 +481
MAR22 2Y-MIDC 99.25 C 7,079 +323 99.25 P 0 UNCH
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.00 C 50,016 +2,217 99.00 P 21 +21
MAR23 3Y-MIDC 99.12 C 1,005 -10 99.12 P 0 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
APR20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.71 (325,549 PUTS VS. 458,102 CALLS)
JUN20 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.03 (138,322 PUTS VS. 133,112 CALLS)
APR20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.68 (85,411 PUTS VS. 124,369 CALLS)
JUN20 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.82 (52,846 PUTS VS. 63,088 CALLS)
APR20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.72 (21,845 PUTS VS. 29,518 CALLS)
JUN20 2Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.91 (6,609 PUTS VS. 7,224 CALLS)
MAR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.03 (83,353 PUTS VS. 2,296,727 CALLS)
APR20 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.28 (138,035 PUTS VS. 477,709 CALLS)
MAR21 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.42 (95,582 PUTS VS. 227,173 CALLS)
MAR22 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.70 (1,911 PUTS VS. 2,694 CALLS)
MAR23 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.08 (2,574 PUTS VS. 29,370 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, RATIOS ALL REFLECT PRIOR SESSION'S DATA)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
Mon 1500 82.99 110.43 87.38 84.65 65.97 64.66
1345 83.61 105.70 88.36 85.16 66.12 64.81
1200 85.63 106.62 89.04 85.42 66.04 64.85
1045 85.67 107.26 88.75 85.80 65.99 64.86
0900 87.09 112.84 94.61 90.47 66.56 64.84
Mon Open 88.31 113.46 92.49 90.02 66.41 65.02
Fri 1500 90.71 107.22 93.49 88.79 66.09 64.90
Fri Open 89.55 101.77 88.37 84.34 65.63 64.65
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.