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Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump's First Post Election Interview
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 9-15 Dec
US TSY OPTION IMPLIED VOL/OTC SWAPTION VOL FOR SEP 21
EST IMPLIED VOLATILITY/AVG ATM OPTIONS VIA BLOOMBERG, (All Times ET)
USV USZ TYV TYZ FVV TUZ EDV EDZ
1:45 N/A 7.14% N/A 3.76% N/A 2.22% 14.17% 17.36%
10:45 8.23% 7.14% 3.77% 3.77% 2.51% 2.24% 13.54% 17.04%
9:00 7.68% 7.11% 4.18% 3.73% 2.50% 2.21% 14.35% 17.90%
THU OPEN 8.12% 7.14% 4.33% 3.75% 2.80% 2.24% 14.90% 18.13%
WED 3:00 8.66% 7.22% 5.20% 3.82% 3.51% 2.28% 15.81% 17.83%
WED OPEN 9.69% 7.37% 5.63% 3.90% 3.68% 2.30% 17.86% 19.16%
TUE OPEN 8.58% 7.24% 4.76% 3.86% 3.04% 2.28% 16.51% 17.98%
MON 3:00 7.81% 7.36% 4.55% 3.92% 2.92% 2.32% 16.13% 18.45%
MON OPEN 7.67% 7.37% 4.16% 3.86% 2.52% 2.25% 16.82% 18.95%
FRI 3:00 6.40% 7.29% 3.45% 3.81% 2.06% 2.22% 16.30% N/A
FRI OPEN 7.52% 7.45% 4.06% 3.91% 2.40% 2.29% 15.80% N/A
THU 3:00 7.35% 7.47% 3.94% 3.90% 2.42% 2.27% 16.50% N/A
THU OPEN 7.46% 7.51% 4.17% 3.97% 2.49% 2.35% 17.52% N/A
LARGEST O/I: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
OCT17 10Y NOTE 127.50 C 89,069 +2,931 126.00 P 62,579 +705
DEC17 10Y NOTE 129.00 C 92,737 +720 114.00 P 90,755 -4,320
OCT17 5Y NOTE 118.25 C 38,355 +18,556 118.00 P 32,268 -3,237
DEC17 5Y NOTE 119.00 C 12,247 +1,160 112.25 P 98,554 -2,996
OCT17 EURODLR 98.62 C 119,306 -300 98.50 P 145,295 +697
DEC17 EURODLR 98.75 C 739,969 +6,782 98.37 P1,134,213 +72,823
DEC18 1Y-MIDC 98.50 C 158,536 -3,344 98.12 P 497,350 +32,102
DEC19 2Y-MIDC 98.50 C 151,915 UNCH 97.75 P 227,810 +660
DEC20 3Y-MIDC 97.87 C 55,069 +772 96.75 P 100,962 +10
NEAREST ATM: STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE STRIKE TOTAL CHANGE
OCT17 10Y NOTE 127.00 C 71,428 -22,352 127.00 P 25,523 -440
OCT17 10Y NOTE 127.50 C 89,069 +2,931 127.50 P 14,254 -16
DEC17 10Y NOTE 127.00 C 25,892 +497 127.00 P 21,937 -16
DEC17 10Y NOTE 127.50 C 25,004 +70 127.50 P 12,540 +125
OCT17 5Y NOTE 118.25 C 38,355 +18,556 118.25 P 15,920 -234
OCT17 5Y NOTE 118.50 C 17,452 +1,408 118.50 P 11,103 -73
DEC17 5Y NOTE 118.25 C 11,999 +3,141 118.25 P 16,309 -29
DEC17 5Y NOTE 118.50 C 7,601 +909 118.50 P 15,586 UNCH
OCT17 EURODLR 98.50 C 38,038 +2,050 98.50 P 145,295 +697
OCT17 EURODLR 98.62 C 119,306 -300 98.62 P 26,288 UNCH
DEC17 EURODLR 98.50 C 343,673 +18,378 98.50 P 608,598 +13,405
DEC17 EURODLR 98.62 C 457,230 +34,180 98.62 P 213,506 -572
DEC18 1Y-MIDC 98.25 C 81,806 +3,002 98.25 P 248,442 +22,360
DEC18 1Y-MIDC 98.37 C 123,089 +4,924 98.37 P 92,224 +2,673
DEC19 2Y-MIDC 98.00 C 62,100 -1,710 98.00 P 143,445 -3,541
DEC19 2Y-MIDC 98.12 C 49,282 +3,755 98.12 P 73,375 +500
DEC20 3Y-MIDC 97.87 C 55,069 +772 97.87 P 41,406 +1,254
DEC20 3Y-MIDC 98.00 C 44,390 UNCH 98.00 P 19,755 UNCH
PUT/CALL RATIO FOR VOLUME CLEARED:
OCT17 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.63 (139,768 PUTS VS. 220,867 CALLS)
DEC17 10Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 3.44 (84,054 PUTS VS. 24,407 CALLS)
OCT17 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.74 (51,917 PUTS VS. 70,251 CALLS)
DEC17 5Y NOTE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 1.86 (35,064 PUTS VS. 18,833 CALLS)
OCT17 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 2.14 (7,290 PUTS VS. 3,400 CALLS)
DEC17 EURODLRS PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.68 (193,790 PUTS VS. 284,221 CALLS)
DEC18 1Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.72 (13,460 PUTS VS. 18,625 CALLS)
DEC19 2Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 0.46 (36,960 PUTS VS. 78,590 CALLS)
DEC20 3Y-MIDCRVE PUT/CALL RATIO -- 8.42 (17,772 PUTS VS. 2,100 CALLS)
(VOLUME, OPEN INTEREST, PUT/CALL RATIOS FOR VOLUME CLEARED ALL REFLECT PRIOR
SESSION'S DATA.)
Swaption BP/Vol Via Bloomberg:
Time (ET) 3M/2Y 1M/10Y 3M/5Y 3M/10Y 2Y/10Y 5Y/5Y
1:45 39.78 52.97 54.54 58.68 71.20 77.65
10:45 39.80 53.05 54.50 58.70 71.26 77.64
9:00 40.04 55.66 55.18 59.32 71.41 77.65
Thu Open 40.13 56.01 55.33 59.52 71.43 77.65
Wed 3:00 39.98 56.67 55.08 59.42 71.74 77.40
Wed Open 40.61 57.34 55.87 60.33 72.21 77.51
Tue Open 40.38 57.53 56.24 60.68 72.56 77.36
Mon 3:00 40.14 57.49 56.43 60.90 72.61 77.94
Mon Open 39.75 56.58 56.48 61.08 72.75 77.92
Fri 3:00 39.73 56.27 56.47 61.18 72.70 77.84
Fri Open 39.68 57.66 56.69 61.58 72.80 78.02
Thu 3:00 39.64 57.36 56.61 61.52 72.86 78.00
Thu Open 39.29 58.79 56.38 61.75 73.07 78.25
--MNI Chicago Bureau; tel: +1 312-431-0089; email: bill.sokolis@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.