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Free AccessUSD/CNH Rebounds Back To 7.1600, Q2 GDP/June Activity Figures & MLF Out Today
USD/CNH finished NY trade on Friday close to session highs, near 7.1600. We last tracked near 7.1585, with the currency having lost a modest 0.11% on Friday. This followed generally broader USD gains against the majors including JPY. USD/CNH got to lows near 7.1200 earlier in the session. USD/CNY closed at lower levels of 7.1420, but still up from earlier Friday lows. The CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) rose 0.12% to 120.16 at the end of last week.
- Over the weekend US Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that US will look for further ways to 'de-escalate' tensions with China, but lowering tariffs was unlikely to be of this de-escalation. John Kerry, the US Climate Envoy, arrived in China yesterday, for a 3-day trip to discuss climate related issues.
- Today we have the 1yr MLF rate outcome, no change is expected (2.65% is the current rate, while projected volumes are 125bn yuan, 237bn prior). Also due is Q2 GDP, +0.8% q/q is the forecast (2.2% prior), while base effects will boost the y/y outcome to a projected 7.1% (4.5% prior).
- June activity figures are out, which are expected to show a loss of a y/y momentum, again though base effects from 2022 will be playing a role.
- In the equity space, the Golden Dragon index lost 2.17% in US trade on Friday, after onshore equities were close to flat during the Friday domestic session.
- Note China's financial regulators have invited some of the world's largest investors to a symposium this Friday, aimed at encouraging investment into the country, per Reuters reports (see this link).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.