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USD/TRY Peeks Above 14.80 as CBRT Removes C/A Surplus Forecast from Statement

TURKEY
  • USD/TRY trades +0.67% higher this morning, tracking early upside in the BBDXY with global risk sentiment mostly mixed.
  • The lira retraced its weekly gains vs the greenback following yesterday’s CBRT statement removed forecasts for a current account surplus and noted Ukraine related risks to inflation.
  • Despite the dire inflation forecast, the CBRT remains resolute in its low rates policy – leaving the one-week repo unchanged at 14.00%, as expected.
  • GS analysts forecast CPI to remain sticky and above 60% for the remainder of the year, which should continued to add devaluation pressure on TRY as the rest of the world normalises policy.
  • Today’s focus is on Ukraine ceasefire talks going into the weekend, with rising oil prices adding renewed pressure on the lira.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.6865, Sup2: 14.6462, Res1: 14.8366, Res2: 14.9265

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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