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USD/ZAR Breaks Bull Channel Support, Dials In On GDP

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR trades -0.36% lower this morning, tracking early selling pressure on the BBDXY.
  • The cross fell -1.16% yesterday with ZAR outperforming the broader EM space on the back of China’s RRR cut and more signs of less severe symptoms from Omicron cases on the ground.
  • Covid cases also made a marked decline today to 6.3k from 11k on Sunday, but this trend will still need to be monitored going forward.
  • Parliament is set to vote on the controversial land expropriation without compensation bill today, with broad expectations that it will not achieve a 2/3 majority in parliament.
  • Nevertheless, a victory for the bill would be a broadly negative development for SA.
  • On the data front, 3Q GDP is in focus today – expected to reflect the impact of July’s riot activity and result in a contraction with high frequency indicators falling notably post-July before recovering slightly.
  • Yesterday’s price action saw bull channel support give way after multiple attempts, bringing the 15.60-15.40 zone into play to the downside if we can see a move through the prior lows at 15.7381.
  • US trade balance data will also be monitored around midday. Intraday Sup1: 15.7657, Sup2: 15.7094, Res1: 15.88, Res2: 15.9742

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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