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USD/ZAR Flirts With Bull Channel Lower Trendline as USD Volatility Continues

SOUTH AFRICA
  • USD/ZAR has traded choppily throughout the week with price action fluctuating around the lower trendline of the bull channel pattern established in June 2021.
  • USD strength has been a dominant theme this week with the Fed alluding to plans to stick with its expedited taper/rate hike timeline despite uncertainty coming from the Omicron variant.
  • The sharp turnaround in equities following NFPs has also contributed to USD-side volatility this afternoon with ZAR’s high-beta nature making it vulnerable to intraday volatility.
  • USD/ZAR has attempted to break this bull channel pattern three times this week but failed to close below the level.
  • From a technical standpoint, a close below the trendline and 15.75 would potentially open up a move towards the 15.50-15.30 zone, while a failure to do so would likely see the current bull trend continue to the prior highs at 16.40-16.60.
  • Momentum currently remains bullish set against a strong USD backdrop, with the cross well-supported by lateral and dynamic support below from the Aug/Sep highs and the 50/100dmas.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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